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¿Estado de la Unión # de espectadores?

Market icon

¿Estado de la Unión # de espectadores?

<35M 100.0%

35M - 37M <1%

37M - 39M <1%

39M - 41M <1%

Polymarket

$44,135 Vol.

<35M 100.0%

35M - 37M <1%

37M - 39M <1%

39M - 41M <1%

Polymarket

$44,135 Vol.

<35M

$12,548 Vol.

Yes

35M - 37M

$6,190 Vol.

No

37M - 39M

$4,233 Vol.

No

39M - 41M

$2,654 Vol.

No

41M - 43M

$3,746 Vol.

No

43M - 45M

$6,273 Vol.

No

45M+

$8,492 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 State of the Union address as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the 2026 State of the Union address may also be used. If the 2026 State of the Union address takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the address within 10 calendar days, another credible resolution for the 2026 State of the Union viewership source may be chosen.
Volumen
$44,135
Fecha de finalización
Feb 24, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 State of the Union address as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the 2026 State of the Union address may also be used. If the 2026 State of the Union address takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the address within 10 calendar days, another credible resolution for the 2026 State of the Union viewership source may be chosen.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Estado de la Unión # de espectadores?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<35M" at 100%, followed by "35M - 37M" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Estado de la Unión # de espectadores?" has generated $44.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Estado de la Unión # de espectadores?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Estado de la Unión # de espectadores?" is "<35M" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "35M - 37M" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Estado de la Unión # de espectadores?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.