Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to exactly one FOMC dissenter at the April 28-29 meeting, with 33% for two, reflecting persistent policy divisions amid sticky inflation and softening labor market signals. The prior March 18 decision held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% with a single dissent from Christopher Miran—fewer than anticipated from hawks like Waller and Bowman—while the dot plot maintained one 2026 rate cut. Chair Powell's March 30 Harvard remarks highlighted dual-mandate tensions between employment and price stability, explicitly welcoming dissent and signaling fractures along political lines. Traders price low odds for zero or three-plus dissents, eyeing pre-meeting CPI, nonfarm payrolls, and Treasury yield moves as pivotal catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado1 57%
2 32%
3 10%
0 4.8%
$11,192 Vol.
$11,192 Vol.
29 abr 2026
0
5%
1
57%
2
32%
3
10%
4+
2%
1 57%
2 32%
3 10%
0 4.8%
$11,192 Vol.
$11,192 Vol.
29 abr 2026
0
$3,187 Vol.
5%
1
$6,377 Vol.
57%
2
$307 Vol.
32%
3
$246 Vol.
10%
4+
$1,074 Vol.
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to exactly one FOMC dissenter at the April 28-29 meeting, with 33% for two, reflecting persistent policy divisions amid sticky inflation and softening labor market signals. The prior March 18 decision held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% with a single dissent from Christopher Miran—fewer than anticipated from hawks like Waller and Bowman—while the dot plot maintained one 2026 rate cut. Chair Powell's March 30 Harvard remarks highlighted dual-mandate tensions between employment and price stability, explicitly welcoming dissent and signaling fractures along political lines. Traders price low odds for zero or three-plus dissents, eyeing pre-meeting CPI, nonfarm payrolls, and Treasury yield moves as pivotal catalysts.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volumen
$11,192Fecha de finalización
29 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to exactly one FOMC dissenter at the April 28-29 meeting, with 33% for two, reflecting persistent policy divisions amid sticky inflation and softening labor market signals. The prior March 18 decision held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% with a single dissent from Christopher Miran—fewer than anticipated from hawks like Waller and Bowman—while the dot plot maintained one 2026 rate cut. Chair Powell's March 30 Harvard remarks highlighted dual-mandate tensions between employment and price stability, explicitly welcoming dissent and signaling fractures along political lines. Traders price low odds for zero or three-plus dissents, eyeing pre-meeting CPI, nonfarm payrolls, and Treasury yield moves as pivotal catalysts.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$11,192Fecha de finalización
29 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to exactly one FOMC dissenter at the April 28-29 meeting, with 33% for two, reflecting persistent policy divisions amid sticky inflation and softening labor market signals. The prior March 18 decision held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% with a single dissent from Christopher Miran—fewer than anticipated from hawks like Waller and Bowman—while the dot plot maintained one 2026 rate cut. Chair Powell's March 30 Harvard remarks highlighted dual-mandate tensions between employment and price stability, explicitly welcoming dissent and signaling fractures along political lines. Traders price low odds for zero or three-plus dissents, eyeing pre-meeting CPI, nonfarm payrolls, and Treasury yield moves as pivotal catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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