Official forecasts from Environment Canada project Toronto's high temperature on March 26 at 5-7°C, reflecting a persistent cold air mass from a recent Arctic front that has suppressed readings across southern Ontario. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 8°C or below (45.5% implied probability) and 9°C (28%), as ensemble models from the Canadian Meteorological Centre show minimal warming potential amid light winds and cloudy skies. Historical March data at Pearson Airport averages 6°C, with similar setups yielding sub-10°C highs 70% of the time; recent observations of overnight lows near 0°C further anchor expectations, though minor model tweaks could nudge odds if high pressure builds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 26 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 26 de marzo?
8°C o menos 45%
9°C 22%
11°C 18%
12°C 18%
8°C o menos
45%
9°C
28%
10°C
15%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
17%
16°C
15%
17°C
11%
18°C o más
1%
8°C o menos 45%
9°C 22%
11°C 18%
12°C 18%
8°C o menos
45%
9°C
28%
10°C
15%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
17%
16°C
15%
17°C
11%
18°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project Toronto's high temperature on March 26 at 5-7°C, reflecting a persistent cold air mass from a recent Arctic front that has suppressed readings across southern Ontario. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 8°C or below (45.5% implied probability) and 9°C (28%), as ensemble models from the Canadian Meteorological Centre show minimal warming potential amid light winds and cloudy skies. Historical March data at Pearson Airport averages 6°C, with similar setups yielding sub-10°C highs 70% of the time; recent observations of overnight lows near 0°C further anchor expectations, though minor model tweaks could nudge odds if high pressure builds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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