Official Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a midday peak of 17°C today, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressed further warming, consistent with early April climatology where historical highs average around 18°C but vary with frontal passages. Model forecasts from yesterday had hinted at 18°C potential, but real-time data confirmed no exceedance as temperatures dropped post-3 p.m. JST amid decreasing insolation. A late revision to JMA's daily summary or an overlooked microburst of heat could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are rare after peak hours; final report expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$264,259 Vol.
$264,259 Vol.
1 abr 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$264,259 Vol.
$264,259 Vol.
1 abr 2026
9°C or below
$11,540 Vol.
No
10°C
$21,812 Vol.
No
11°C
$7,431 Vol.
No
12°C
$11,423 Vol.
No
13°C
$13,674 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,460 Vol.
No
15°C
$11,049 Vol.
No
16°C
$31,635 Vol.
No
17°C
$71,752 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$30,692 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$43,792 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a midday peak of 17°C today, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressed further warming, consistent with early April climatology where historical highs average around 18°C but vary with frontal passages. Model forecasts from yesterday had hinted at 18°C potential, but real-time data confirmed no exceedance as temperatures dropped post-3 p.m. JST amid decreasing insolation. A late revision to JMA's daily summary or an overlooked microburst of heat could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are rare after peak hours; final report expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volumen
$264,259Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a midday peak of 17°C today, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressed further warming, consistent with early April climatology where historical highs average around 18°C but vary with frontal passages. Model forecasts from yesterday had hinted at 18°C potential, but real-time data confirmed no exceedance as temperatures dropped post-3 p.m. JST amid decreasing insolation. A late revision to JMA's daily summary or an overlooked microburst of heat could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are rare after peak hours; final report expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$264,259Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Official Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a midday peak of 17°C today, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressed further warming, consistent with early April climatology where historical highs average around 18°C but vary with frontal passages. Model forecasts from yesterday had hinted at 18°C potential, but real-time data confirmed no exceedance as temperatures dropped post-3 p.m. JST amid decreasing insolation. A late revision to JMA's daily summary or an overlooked microburst of heat could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are rare after peak hours; final report expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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