Official Central Weather Administration observations from Taipei's Songshan station confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 22°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with a 99.7% market-implied probability. This outcome aligns with an unstable weather pattern featuring rare snow on Yushan peak and a cool air mass over northern Taiwan, suppressing daytime highs below April's climatological average of 24–25°C amid cloudy skies and sporadic showers. Forecast models from the CWA accurately predicted these subdued conditions, reflecting strong model consensus on suppressed convective activity. Realistic challenges would require post-validation data revisions—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over measurement protocols, though such events are exceedingly rare for finalized daily records. Traders await formal market resolution shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
22°C 98.8%
23°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$153,459 Vol.
$153,459 Vol.
1 abr 2026
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98.8%
23°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$153,459 Vol.
$153,459 Vol.
1 abr 2026
22°C
$39,079 Vol.
99%
23°C
$10,930 Vol.
1%
24°C
$6,806 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$11,122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration observations from Taipei's Songshan station confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 22°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with a 99.7% market-implied probability. This outcome aligns with an unstable weather pattern featuring rare snow on Yushan peak and a cool air mass over northern Taiwan, suppressing daytime highs below April's climatological average of 24–25°C amid cloudy skies and sporadic showers. Forecast models from the CWA accurately predicted these subdued conditions, reflecting strong model consensus on suppressed convective activity. Realistic challenges would require post-validation data revisions—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over measurement protocols, though such events are exceedingly rare for finalized daily records. Traders await formal market resolution shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volumen
$153,459Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration observations from Taipei's Songshan station confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 22°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with a 99.7% market-implied probability. This outcome aligns with an unstable weather pattern featuring rare snow on Yushan peak and a cool air mass over northern Taiwan, suppressing daytime highs below April's climatological average of 24–25°C amid cloudy skies and sporadic showers. Forecast models from the CWA accurately predicted these subdued conditions, reflecting strong model consensus on suppressed convective activity. Realistic challenges would require post-validation data revisions—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over measurement protocols, though such events are exceedingly rare for finalized daily records. Traders await formal market resolution shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$153,459Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration observations from Taipei's Songshan station confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 22°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with a 99.7% market-implied probability. This outcome aligns with an unstable weather pattern featuring rare snow on Yushan peak and a cool air mass over northern Taiwan, suppressing daytime highs below April's climatological average of 24–25°C amid cloudy skies and sporadic showers. Forecast models from the CWA accurately predicted these subdued conditions, reflecting strong model consensus on suppressed convective activity. Realistic challenges would require post-validation data revisions—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over measurement protocols, though such events are exceedingly rare for finalized daily records. Traders await formal market resolution shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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