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¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

56-57°F 42%

54-55 °F 34%

58-59 °F 9.9%

52-53°F 7%

Polymarket

$31,093 Vol.

56-57°F 42%

54-55 °F 34%

58-59 °F 9.9%

52-53°F 7%

Polymarket

$31,093 Vol.

45°F o menos

$5,422 Vol.

<1%

46-47°F

$2,696 Vol.

<1%

48-49°F

$2,513 Vol.

1%

50-51°F

$4,934 Vol.

2%

52-53°F

$5,491 Vol.

7%

54-55 °F

$1,644 Vol.

34%

56-57°F

$2,807 Vol.

42%

58-59 °F

$2,423 Vol.

10%

60-61°F

$1,149 Vol.

3%

62-63°F

$794 Vol.

1%

64°F o más

$1,227 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 43% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 54-55°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) runs as of March 26. Cool marine air from a lingering low-pressure trough off the Pacific keeps highs in the mid-50s, with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating—differentiating the top bins by just 1-2°F amid typical spring variability. Ensemble models show slight disagreement on boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing, introducing uncertainty; historical March 27 averages hover around 55°F. Watch NWS updates at 5 AM/11 AM PST for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official Sea-Tac observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,093
Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 43% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 54-55°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) runs as of March 26. Cool marine air from a lingering low-pressure trough off the Pacific keeps highs in the mid-50s, with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating—differentiating the top bins by just 1-2°F amid typical spring variability. Ensemble models show slight disagreement on boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing, introducing uncertainty; historical March 27 averages hover around 55°F. Watch NWS updates at 5 AM/11 AM PST for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official Sea-Tac observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 43% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 54-55°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) runs as of March 26. Cool marine air from a lingering low-pressure trough off the Pacific keeps highs in the mid-50s, with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating—differentiating the top bins by just 1-2°F amid typical spring variability. Ensemble models show slight disagreement on boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing, introducing uncertainty; historical March 27 averages hover around 55°F. Watch NWS updates at 5 AM/11 AM PST for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official Sea-Tac observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "56-57°F" con 42%, seguido de "54-55 °F" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?" ha generado $31.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?" es "56-57°F" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "54-55 °F" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 27 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.