Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78-85°F for Miami's March 26 high, driven by NOAA's latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 81-83°F under a ridge of high pressure yielding ample sunshine and light winds. Differentiating factors include moderating sea breeze effects from warm Atlantic waters (SSTs ~78°F), potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F, versus drier continental air inflows pushing toward 82-85°F if showers fizzle. Historical late-March norms hover at 79°F, but neutral ENSO conditions add slight warmth bias; NWS point forecast leans 82°F, with model spread reflecting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover evolution. Upcoming 18Z model runs could sharpen odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 26 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 26 de marzo?
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 22%
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
7%
90°F o más
3%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 22%
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
7%
90°F o más
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78-85°F for Miami's March 26 high, driven by NOAA's latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 81-83°F under a ridge of high pressure yielding ample sunshine and light winds. Differentiating factors include moderating sea breeze effects from warm Atlantic waters (SSTs ~78°F), potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F, versus drier continental air inflows pushing toward 82-85°F if showers fizzle. Historical late-March norms hover at 79°F, but neutral ENSO conditions add slight warmth bias; NWS point forecast leans 82°F, with model spread reflecting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover evolution. Upcoming 18Z model runs could sharpen odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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