Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 5 around 20-22°C, with 21°C leading at 25.5% implied probability amid partly sunny conditions from a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and southerly mild air advection. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thinner decks could boost peaks to 22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while thicker overcast favors 20°C—as seen in recent 00Z runs showing 1-2°C spreads. Historical April averages near 14°C underscore this above-normal warmth, but short-range uncertainty persists; watch DWD afternoon updates and evening ICON refreshes for shifts before resolution via official München-Flughafen observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 26%
22°C 22%
19°C 18%
20°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
26%
22°C
22%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
5%
21°C 26%
22°C 22%
19°C 18%
20°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
14°C or below
$384 Vol.
1%
15°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$162 Vol.
1%
17°C
$165 Vol.
4%
18°C
$299 Vol.
11%
19°C
$225 Vol.
18%
20°C
$213 Vol.
18%
21°C
$241 Vol.
26%
22°C
$211 Vol.
22%
23°C
$221 Vol.
10%
24°C or higher
$144 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 5 around 20-22°C, with 21°C leading at 25.5% implied probability amid partly sunny conditions from a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and southerly mild air advection. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thinner decks could boost peaks to 22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while thicker overcast favors 20°C—as seen in recent 00Z runs showing 1-2°C spreads. Historical April averages near 14°C underscore this above-normal warmth, but short-range uncertainty persists; watch DWD afternoon updates and evening ICON refreshes for shifts before resolution via official München-Flughafen observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,534Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 5 around 20-22°C, with 21°C leading at 25.5% implied probability amid partly sunny conditions from a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and southerly mild air advection. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thinner decks could boost peaks to 22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while thicker overcast favors 20°C—as seen in recent 00Z runs showing 1-2°C spreads. Historical April averages near 14°C underscore this above-normal warmth, but short-range uncertainty persists; watch DWD afternoon updates and evening ICON refreshes for shifts before resolution via official München-Flughafen observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,534Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 5 around 20-22°C, with 21°C leading at 25.5% implied probability amid partly sunny conditions from a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and southerly mild air advection. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thinner decks could boost peaks to 22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while thicker overcast favors 20°C—as seen in recent 00Z runs showing 1-2°C spreads. Historical April averages near 14°C underscore this above-normal warmth, but short-range uncertainty persists; watch DWD afternoon updates and evening ICON refreshes for shifts before resolution via official München-Flughafen observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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