Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a high temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on March 27, 2026, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service showing a verified maximum of 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution station via Weather Underground.[[1]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CF6&site=HNL&version=1)[[2]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CLI&site=MFL&version=1) This aligns precisely with late-March climatological normals of 82°F, under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and no precipitation, limiting convective cooling or heat advection.[[3]](https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/fl/miami/KMIA/date/2019-8) Short-range forecast models from NOAA had projected highs near 82°F, reinforcing pre-event positioning. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post hoc data correction for sensor error or station discrepancy could shift it, but multi-source verification confirms stability.[[4]](https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA/date/2026-3-27) Final NWS daily summary expected soon.[[2]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CLI&site=MFL&version=1)
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 99.9%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$116,443 Vol.
$116,443 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99.9%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$116,443 Vol.
$116,443 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
82-83°F
$20,923 Vol.
100%
84-85°F
$12,968 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$6,416 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$6,913 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$4,774 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a high temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on March 27, 2026, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service showing a verified maximum of 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution station via Weather Underground.[[1]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CF6&site=HNL&version=1)[[2]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CLI&site=MFL&version=1) This aligns precisely with late-March climatological normals of 82°F, under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and no precipitation, limiting convective cooling or heat advection.[[3]](https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/fl/miami/KMIA/date/2019-8) Short-range forecast models from NOAA had projected highs near 82°F, reinforcing pre-event positioning. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post hoc data correction for sensor error or station discrepancy could shift it, but multi-source verification confirms stability.[[4]](https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA/date/2026-3-27) Final NWS daily summary expected soon.[[2]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CLI&site=MFL&version=1)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$116,443Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a high temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on March 27, 2026, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service showing a verified maximum of 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution station via Weather Underground.[[1]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CF6&site=HNL&version=1)[[2]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CLI&site=MFL&version=1) This aligns precisely with late-March climatological normals of 82°F, under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and no precipitation, limiting convective cooling or heat advection.[[3]](https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/fl/miami/KMIA/date/2019-8) Short-range forecast models from NOAA had projected highs near 82°F, reinforcing pre-event positioning. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post hoc data correction for sensor error or station discrepancy could shift it, but multi-source verification confirms stability.[[4]](https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA/date/2026-3-27) Final NWS daily summary expected soon.[[2]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CLI&site=MFL&version=1)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$116,443Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a high temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on March 27, 2026, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service showing a verified maximum of 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution station via Weather Underground.[[1]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CF6&site=HNL&version=1)[[2]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CLI&site=MFL&version=1) This aligns precisely with late-March climatological normals of 82°F, under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and no precipitation, limiting convective cooling or heat advection.[[3]](https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/fl/miami/KMIA/date/2019-8) Short-range forecast models from NOAA had projected highs near 82°F, reinforcing pre-event positioning. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post hoc data correction for sensor error or station discrepancy could shift it, but multi-source verification confirms stability.[[4]](https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA/date/2026-3-27) Final NWS daily summary expected soon.[[2]](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MIA&product=CLI&site=MFL&version=1)
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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