Trader consensus favors 80°F or higher at 54.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a high near 81°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This follows a record-shattering 87°F on March 25—the hottest March day ever at Denver International Airport—and a cooler dip yesterday amid a passing frontal boundary, with models like GFS and ECMWF now converging on ample sunshine and light downslope flow to boost temperatures 20–25°F above the late-March normal of 58°F. Secondary odds on 78–79°F (27.5%) account for potential capping from thin high clouds or diurnal mixing, while observations at Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the market by evening; watch hourly updates from NOAA for intraday shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 55%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 1.4%
$26,464 Vol.
$26,464 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
28%
80°F or higher
55%
80°F or higher 55%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 1.4%
$26,464 Vol.
$26,464 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
28%
80°F or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 80°F or higher at 54.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a high near 81°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This follows a record-shattering 87°F on March 25—the hottest March day ever at Denver International Airport—and a cooler dip yesterday amid a passing frontal boundary, with models like GFS and ECMWF now converging on ample sunshine and light downslope flow to boost temperatures 20–25°F above the late-March normal of 58°F. Secondary odds on 78–79°F (27.5%) account for potential capping from thin high clouds or diurnal mixing, while observations at Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the market by evening; watch hourly updates from NOAA for intraday shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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