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¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

84-85°F 99.9%

86-87°F <1%

88-89°F <1%

90-91°F <1%

Polymarket

$173,192 Vol.

84-85°F 99.9%

86-87°F <1%

88-89°F <1%

90-91°F <1%

Polymarket

$173,192 Vol.

84-85°F

$26,207 Vol.

100%

86-87°F

$17,067 Vol.

<1%

88-89°F

$11,781 Vol.

<1%

90-91°F

$10,222 Vol.

<1%

92-93°F

$5,620 Vol.

<1%

94-95°F

$7,122 Vol.

<1%

96-97°F

$4,323 Vol.

<1%

98°F o más

$2,619 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service models project a high of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, underpinning the 99.9% market-implied probability as traders align with consensus guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection, ample sunshine, and light southerly winds for optimal diurnal heating. Recent soundings from the Dallas-Fort Worth area confirm a dry, stable air mass with strong radiational cooling overnight, enabling highs well above the March climatological average of 70°F. This positioning reflects robust scientific agreement on unseasonably warm conditions amid neutral ENSO influences. Realistic challenges include a sudden wind shift ushering cooler mid-level air or unexpected low clouds reducing insolation, though low-probability per current 12Z model runs; monitor afternoon NWS updates for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$173,192
Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service models project a high of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, underpinning the 99.9% market-implied probability as traders align with consensus guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection, ample sunshine, and light southerly winds for optimal diurnal heating. Recent soundings from the Dallas-Fort Worth area confirm a dry, stable air mass with strong radiational cooling overnight, enabling highs well above the March climatological average of 70°F. This positioning reflects robust scientific agreement on unseasonably warm conditions amid neutral ENSO influences. Realistic challenges include a sudden wind shift ushering cooler mid-level air or unexpected low clouds reducing insolation, though low-probability per current 12Z model runs; monitor afternoon NWS updates for refinements.

National Weather Service models project a high of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, underpinning the 99.9% market-implied probability as traders align with consensus guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection, ample sunshine, and light southerly winds for optimal diurnal heating. Recent soundings from the Dallas-Fort Worth area confirm a dry, stable air mass with strong radiational cooling overnight, enabling highs well above the March climatological average of 70°F. This positioning reflects robust scientific agreement on unseasonably warm conditions amid neutral ENSO influences. Realistic challenges include a sudden wind shift ushering cooler mid-level air or unexpected low clouds reducing insolation, though low-probability per current 12Z model runs; monitor afternoon NWS updates for refinements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "84-85°F" con 100%, seguido de "86-87°F" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?" ha generado $173.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?" es "84-85°F" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "86-87°F" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.