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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

44-45°F 100.0%

46-47°F <1%

48-49°F <1%

50-51°F <1%

Polymarket

$201,347 Vol.

44-45°F 100.0%

46-47°F <1%

48-49°F <1%

50-51°F <1%

Polymarket

$201,347 Vol.

44-45°F

$29,985 Vol.

100%

46-47°F

$19,838 Vol.

<1%

48-49°F

$17,773 Vol.

<1%

50-51°F

$15,319 Vol.

<1%

52°F or higher

$25,572 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the National Weather Service's primary station for the city, recorded a high temperature of 44°F on March 27, 2026—well below the historical March average of 51°F—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and a stable upper-level trough suppressed warming, aligning with final GFS and European model guidance that had converged on this range in the preceding 24 hours. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data, with resolution imminent upon NWS climate summary release; challenges would require anomalous sensor recalibration or metadata discrepancies, which are exceedingly rare for established automated stations.

Official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the National Weather Service's primary station for the city, recorded a high temperature of 44°F on March 27, 2026—well below the historical March average of 51°F—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and a stable upper-level trough suppressed warming, aligning with final GFS and European model guidance that had converged on this range in the preceding 24 hours. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data, with resolution imminent upon NWS climate summary release; challenges would require anomalous sensor recalibration or metadata discrepancies, which are exceedingly rare for established automated stations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the National Weather Service's primary station for the city, recorded a high temperature of 44°F on March 27, 2026—well below the historical March average of 51°F—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and a stable upper-level trough suppressed warming, aligning with final GFS and European model guidance that had converged on this range in the preceding 24 hours. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data, with resolution imminent upon NWS climate summary release; challenges would require anomalous sensor recalibration or metadata discrepancies, which are exceedingly rare for established automated stations.

Official observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the National Weather Service's primary station for the city, recorded a high temperature of 44°F on March 27, 2026—well below the historical March average of 51°F—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and a stable upper-level trough suppressed warming, aligning with final GFS and European model guidance that had converged on this range in the preceding 24 hours. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data, with resolution imminent upon NWS climate summary release; challenges would require anomalous sensor recalibration or metadata discrepancies, which are exceedingly rare for established automated stations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "44-45°F" con 100%, seguido de "46-47°F" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?" ha generado $201.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?" es "44-45°F" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "46-47°F" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.