Latest ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a daytime high near 15°C for Ankara on March 27, reflecting trader sentiment with 45.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 16°C. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' observations of steady mild temperatures around 13-15°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, suppressing variability from frontal systems. Diurnal heating in Ankara's continental climate typically peaks mid-afternoon, but partial cloudiness introduces ±1-2°C uncertainty across model runs. Recent MGM updates confirm no significant cold air advection, with hourly forecasts due later today potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 27 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 27 de marzo?
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 21.9%
17°C 5.5%
$54,883 Vol.
$54,883 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
46%
16°C
27%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 21.9%
17°C 5.5%
$54,883 Vol.
$54,883 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
11°C o menos
$13,443 Vol.
1%
12°C
$5,484 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5,607 Vol.
4%
14°C
$10,658 Vol.
22%
15°C
$3,496 Vol.
46%
16°C
$3,342 Vol.
27%
17°C
$3,242 Vol.
6%
18°C
$3,345 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,751 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,679 Vol.
<1%
21°C o más
$2,921 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a daytime high near 15°C for Ankara on March 27, reflecting trader sentiment with 45.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 16°C. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' observations of steady mild temperatures around 13-15°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, suppressing variability from frontal systems. Diurnal heating in Ankara's continental climate typically peaks mid-afternoon, but partial cloudiness introduces ±1-2°C uncertainty across model runs. Recent MGM updates confirm no significant cold air advection, with hourly forecasts due later today potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$54,883Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a daytime high near 15°C for Ankara on March 27, reflecting trader sentiment with 45.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 16°C. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' observations of steady mild temperatures around 13-15°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, suppressing variability from frontal systems. Diurnal heating in Ankara's continental climate typically peaks mid-afternoon, but partial cloudiness introduces ±1-2°C uncertainty across model runs. Recent MGM updates confirm no significant cold air advection, with hourly forecasts due later today potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$54,883Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a daytime high near 15°C for Ankara on March 27, reflecting trader sentiment with 45.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 16°C. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' observations of steady mild temperatures around 13-15°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, suppressing variability from frontal systems. Diurnal heating in Ankara's continental climate typically peaks mid-afternoon, but partial cloudiness introduces ±1-2°C uncertainty across model runs. Recent MGM updates confirm no significant cold air advection, with hourly forecasts due later today potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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