Fernando Dias da Costa leads trader consensus in Guinea-Bissau’s presidential election market after emerging as the main opposition challenger in the November 2025 vote, where he was endorsed by the banned PAIGC party and claimed victory based on partial tallies showing him ahead of incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. A military coup days later annulled the results before official certification, installed a transitional junta, and scheduled fresh elections for December 2026. This sequence has positioned Dias as the frontrunner among traders, with lower probabilities attached to other listed candidates reflecting the consolidation of opposition support around him amid the disrupted process and ongoing transition uncertainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones presidenciales de Guinea-Bissau
Elecciones presidenciales de Guinea-Bissau
Fernando Dias da Costa 59.1%
Siga Batista 12.4%
João de Deus Mendes 3.6%
Título del ítem del grupo: Herculano Armando Bequinsa 2.9%
$322,435 Vol.
$322,435 Vol.
23 nov 2025
Fernando Dias da Costa
38%
Siga Batista
12%
João de Deus Mendes
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: Herculano Armando Bequinsa
3%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
3%
Título del ítem del grupo: João Bernardo Vieira
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
1%
Baciro Djá
1%
Fernando Dias da Costa 59.1%
Siga Batista 12.4%
João de Deus Mendes 3.6%
Título del ítem del grupo: Herculano Armando Bequinsa 2.9%
$322,435 Vol.
$322,435 Vol.
23 nov 2025
Fernando Dias da Costa
$53,371 Vol.
38%
Siga Batista
$22,346 Vol.
12%
João de Deus Mendes
$16,498 Vol.
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: Herculano Armando Bequinsa
$16,005 Vol.
3%
José Mário Vaz
$21,868 Vol.
3%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
$88,312 Vol.
3%
Título del ítem del grupo: João Bernardo Vieira
$15,224 Vol.
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
$18,097 Vol.
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
$19,130 Vol.
2%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
$19,097 Vol.
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
$18,169 Vol.
1%
Baciro Djá
$14,318 Vol.
1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Fernando Dias da Costa leads trader consensus in Guinea-Bissau’s presidential election market after emerging as the main opposition challenger in the November 2025 vote, where he was endorsed by the banned PAIGC party and claimed victory based on partial tallies showing him ahead of incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. A military coup days later annulled the results before official certification, installed a transitional junta, and scheduled fresh elections for December 2026. This sequence has positioned Dias as the frontrunner among traders, with lower probabilities attached to other listed candidates reflecting the consolidation of opposition support around him amid the disrupted process and ongoing transition uncertainties.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$322,435Fecha de finalización
23 nov 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Fernando Dias da Costa leads trader consensus in Guinea-Bissau’s presidential election market after emerging as the main opposition challenger in the November 2025 vote, where he was endorsed by the banned PAIGC party and claimed victory based on partial tallies showing him ahead of incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. A military coup days later annulled the results before official certification, installed a transitional junta, and scheduled fresh elections for December 2026. This sequence has positioned Dias as the frontrunner among traders, with lower probabilities attached to other listed candidates reflecting the consolidation of opposition support around him amid the disrupted process and ongoing transition uncertainties.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volumen
$322,435Fecha de finalización
23 nov 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Fernando Dias da Costa leads trader consensus in Guinea-Bissau’s presidential election market after emerging as the main opposition challenger in the November 2025 vote, where he was endorsed by the banned PAIGC party and claimed victory based on partial tallies showing him ahead of incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. A military coup days later annulled the results before official certification, installed a transitional junta, and scheduled fresh elections for December 2026. This sequence has positioned Dias as the frontrunner among traders, with lower probabilities attached to other listed candidates reflecting the consolidation of opposition support around him amid the disrupted process and ongoing transition uncertainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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