In Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus shows a razor-thin lead for Rob Adkerson at 45% implied probability over John Cowan (41%) and a pack of closely bunched challengers, reflecting a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner after recent FEC fundraising reports revealed comparable Q1 hauls among the leaders—Adkerson at $250K, Cowan near $220K, and others in the $150K–$200K range. A candidate forum last week drew even reviews across the board, failing to shift momentum, while split local GOP endorsements and competing claims to Trump loyalty keep support dispersed. Early voting opened this week ahead of the May 21 primary, where a majority is required to win outright and avoid a runoff; a high-profile endorsement, standout absentee ballot trends, or last-minute scandal could tip the balance and widen separations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
John Cowan 42%
Lisa Carlquist 38%
Chris Mora 37%
John Hobbs 36%
John Cowan
42%
Lisa Carlquist
38%
Chris Mora
37%
John Hobbs
36%
William Brown
24%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
24%
Tricia Pridemore
31%
Rob Adkerson
44%
John Cowan 42%
Lisa Carlquist 38%
Chris Mora 37%
John Hobbs 36%
John Cowan
42%
Lisa Carlquist
38%
Chris Mora
37%
John Hobbs
36%
William Brown
24%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
24%
Tricia Pridemore
31%
Rob Adkerson
44%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus shows a razor-thin lead for Rob Adkerson at 45% implied probability over John Cowan (41%) and a pack of closely bunched challengers, reflecting a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner after recent FEC fundraising reports revealed comparable Q1 hauls among the leaders—Adkerson at $250K, Cowan near $220K, and others in the $150K–$200K range. A candidate forum last week drew even reviews across the board, failing to shift momentum, while split local GOP endorsements and competing claims to Trump loyalty keep support dispersed. Early voting opened this week ahead of the May 21 primary, where a majority is required to win outright and avoid a runoff; a high-profile endorsement, standout absentee ballot trends, or last-minute scandal could tip the balance and widen separations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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