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Política·Primarias

UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Ben McAdams 71%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 9.3%

Brian King <1%

Polymarket

$28,965 Vol.

Ben McAdams 71%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 9.3%

Brian King <1%

Polymarket

$28,965 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$7,681 Vol.

71%

Nate Blouin

$4,016 Vol.

20%

Liban Mohamed

$657 Vol.

9%

Brian King

$1,112 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,431 Vol.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,752 Vol.

<1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,095 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,327 Vol.

<1%

Michael Farrell

$204 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams commands 71% trader consensus in the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to his commanding lead in March polling (36% support), superior fundraising exceeding rivals by nearly $1 million, and strong name recognition from prior House service and Salt Lake County mayoral tenure, appealing in the open primary where independents vote. State Senator Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% buoyed by progressive endorsements amid debates over his record, while newcomer Liban Mohamed's 12% reflects momentum from his April 25 state convention upset victory via ranked-choice voting (51%-49% over McAdams), energizing activist delegates ahead of the June 23 ballot. No new polls have emerged post-convention, underscoring McAdams' frontrunner status in this blue-leaning district redraw.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$28,965
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams commands 71% trader consensus in the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to his commanding lead in March polling (36% support), superior fundraising exceeding rivals by nearly $1 million, and strong name recognition from prior House service and Salt Lake County mayoral tenure, appealing in the open primary where independents vote. State Senator Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% buoyed by progressive endorsements amid debates over his record, while newcomer Liban Mohamed's 12% reflects momentum from his April 25 state convention upset victory via ranked-choice voting (51%-49% over McAdams), energizing activist delegates ahead of the June 23 ballot. No new polls have emerged post-convention, underscoring McAdams' frontrunner status in this blue-leaning district redraw.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$28,965
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ben McAdams" con 71%, seguido de "Nate Blouin" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $29K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Ben McAdams" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nate Blouin" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.