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icon for PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

David Oxman <1%

Morgan Cephas <1%

Gabriel Cáceres <1%

Robin Toldens <1%

Polymarket

$186,304 Vol.

David Oxman <1%

Morgan Cephas <1%

Gabriel Cáceres <1%

Robin Toldens <1%

Polymarket

$186,304 Vol.

David Oxman

$6,504 Vol.

<1%

Morgan Cephas

$4,073 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Cáceres

$5,165 Vol.

<1%

Robin Toldens

$4,699 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District after incumbent Dwight Evans announced his retirement last year, leaving an open seat in the solidly Democratic Philadelphia-based district. With the May 19 primary now concluded and early returns showing Rabb ahead with roughly 44 percent of the vote, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the outcome. Key drivers include Rabb's stronger fundraising totals, particularly from progressive donors, and endorsements from left-leaning organizations emphasizing healthcare expansion and foreign policy shifts. The remaining candidates, including state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford, trailed in both fundraising and organizational support. While final certification or any late procedural challenges could theoretically alter the result, the current vote margin makes such developments unlikely within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$186,304
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District after incumbent Dwight Evans announced his retirement last year, leaving an open seat in the solidly Democratic Philadelphia-based district. With the May 19 primary now concluded and early returns showing Rabb ahead with roughly 44 percent of the vote, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the outcome. Key drivers include Rabb's stronger fundraising totals, particularly from progressive donors, and endorsements from left-leaning organizations emphasizing healthcare expansion and foreign policy shifts. The remaining candidates, including state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford, trailed in both fundraising and organizational support. While final certification or any late procedural challenges could theoretically alter the result, the current vote margin makes such developments unlikely within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$186,304
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chris Rabb" con 100%, seguido de "David Oxman" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $186.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Chris Rabb" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "David Oxman" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.