Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 78.5% implied probability to win the Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 3, driven by his commanding lead in recent polls, superior fundraising exceeding $1 million, and key endorsements from local Democratic leaders and progressive groups. Incumbent Seth Moulton trails at 2% amid low visibility and criticism over his bipartisan votes, while challengers like Rick Jakious (5.1%) gain minor traction from grassroots support but lack resources. Recent developments include Koh's strong debate performances and a DCCC rating boost, solidifying his frontrunner status, though voter turnout and late endorsements could shift dynamics in this competitive primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoDan Koh 79%
Rick Jakious 5.1%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 3.9%
Tram Nguyen 3.8%
$21,775 Vol.
$21,775 Vol.
Dan Koh
79%
Rick Jakious
5%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
4%
Tram Nguyen
4%
Beth Andres-Beck
3%
Rachel Creemers
2%
Seth Moulton
2%
Mariah Lancaster
2%
Diann Slavit Baylis
2%
John Beccia
1%
Dominick Pangallo
1%
Kevin Larivee
1%
Dan Koh 79%
Rick Jakious 5.1%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 3.9%
Tram Nguyen 3.8%
$21,775 Vol.
$21,775 Vol.
Dan Koh
79%
Rick Jakious
5%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
4%
Tram Nguyen
4%
Beth Andres-Beck
3%
Rachel Creemers
2%
Seth Moulton
2%
Mariah Lancaster
2%
Diann Slavit Baylis
2%
John Beccia
1%
Dominick Pangallo
1%
Kevin Larivee
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 78.5% implied probability to win the Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 3, driven by his commanding lead in recent polls, superior fundraising exceeding $1 million, and key endorsements from local Democratic leaders and progressive groups. Incumbent Seth Moulton trails at 2% amid low visibility and criticism over his bipartisan votes, while challengers like Rick Jakious (5.1%) gain minor traction from grassroots support but lack resources. Recent developments include Koh's strong debate performances and a DCCC rating boost, solidifying his frontrunner status, though voter turnout and late endorsements could shift dynamics in this competitive primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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