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Política·Michigan

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-13

Market icon
Política·Michigan

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-13

Shri Thanedar 57%

Donavan McKinney 38%

Nazmul Hassan 3.6%

Anthony Carbonaro 1.9%

Polymarket

$22,290 Vol.

Shri Thanedar 57%

Donavan McKinney 38%

Nazmul Hassan 3.6%

Anthony Carbonaro 1.9%

Polymarket

$22,290 Vol.

Shri Thanedar

$974 Vol.

54%

Donavan McKinney

$20,217 Vol.

38%

Nazmul Hassan

$388 Vol.

4%

Anthony Carbonaro

$354 Vol.

2%

Shelby Campbell

$357 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar's commanding fundraising advantage—reporting over $6 million cash-on-hand as of early 2026—anchors trader consensus at 55% implied probability for the August 4 Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting incumbency benefits in this solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat despite past criticisms of his visibility and policy positions like the recent Abolish ICE Act. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney holds 37.5% on momentum from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and the Progressive Working Families Party, amplified by his April 1 radio interview addressing local priorities such as affordable housing, crime, and constituent services. With the April 21 filing deadline approaching, the closely contested race highlights tensions between establishment resources and grassroots energy absent public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,290
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar's commanding fundraising advantage—reporting over $6 million cash-on-hand as of early 2026—anchors trader consensus at 55% implied probability for the August 4 Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting incumbency benefits in this solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat despite past criticisms of his visibility and policy positions like the recent Abolish ICE Act. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney holds 37.5% on momentum from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and the Progressive Working Families Party, amplified by his April 1 radio interview addressing local priorities such as affordable housing, crime, and constituent services. With the April 21 filing deadline approaching, the closely contested race highlights tensions between establishment resources and grassroots energy absent public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,290
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-13" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Shri Thanedar" con 54%, seguido de "Donavan McKinney" con 38%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 54¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-13" ha generado $22.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-13", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-13" es "Shri Thanedar" con 54%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Donavan McKinney" con 38%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-13" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.