Mark Lamb's commanding position in recent polling and early fundraising has driven overwhelming trader consensus for his victory in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary. Entering the race in late 2025 after a prior statewide Senate bid, Lamb quickly established a wide lead over challengers including former state representative Travis Grantham and former NFL kicker Jay Feely. A December 2025 survey of likely Republican primary voters showed Lamb at 64 percent support, with all rivals in low single digits. As the July 21 primary approaches in this solidly Republican East Valley district, Lamb's name recognition and path to consolidating support have kept implied probabilities near 90 percent, though late shifts in voter turnout or endorsements could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMark Lamb 89.1%
Jay Feely 2.8%
Travis Grantham 2.1%
$48,421 Vol.
$48,421 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
89%
Jay Feely
3%
Travis Grantham
2%
Mark Lamb 89.1%
Jay Feely 2.8%
Travis Grantham 2.1%
$48,421 Vol.
$48,421 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
$5,012 Vol.
89%
Jay Feely
$42,030 Vol.
3%
Travis Grantham
$1,380 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb's commanding position in recent polling and early fundraising has driven overwhelming trader consensus for his victory in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary. Entering the race in late 2025 after a prior statewide Senate bid, Lamb quickly established a wide lead over challengers including former state representative Travis Grantham and former NFL kicker Jay Feely. A December 2025 survey of likely Republican primary voters showed Lamb at 64 percent support, with all rivals in low single digits. As the July 21 primary approaches in this solidly Republican East Valley district, Lamb's name recognition and path to consolidating support have kept implied probabilities near 90 percent, though late shifts in voter turnout or endorsements could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volumen
$48,421Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb's commanding position in recent polling and early fundraising has driven overwhelming trader consensus for his victory in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary. Entering the race in late 2025 after a prior statewide Senate bid, Lamb quickly established a wide lead over challengers including former state representative Travis Grantham and former NFL kicker Jay Feely. A December 2025 survey of likely Republican primary voters showed Lamb at 64 percent support, with all rivals in low single digits. As the July 21 primary approaches in this solidly Republican East Valley district, Lamb's name recognition and path to consolidating support have kept implied probabilities near 90 percent, though late shifts in voter turnout or endorsements could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$48,421Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb's commanding position in recent polling and early fundraising has driven overwhelming trader consensus for his victory in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary. Entering the race in late 2025 after a prior statewide Senate bid, Lamb quickly established a wide lead over challengers including former state representative Travis Grantham and former NFL kicker Jay Feely. A December 2025 survey of likely Republican primary voters showed Lamb at 64 percent support, with all rivals in low single digits. As the July 21 primary approaches in this solidly Republican East Valley district, Lamb's name recognition and path to consolidating support have kept implied probabilities near 90 percent, though late shifts in voter turnout or endorsements could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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