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Política·HIELO

Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09

Market icon
Política·HIELO

Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09

Derek Merrin 64%

Madison Sheahan 15%

Josh Williams 9.0%

Alea Nadeem 3.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Derek Merrin 64%

Madison Sheahan 15%

Josh Williams 9.0%

Alea Nadeem 3.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Derek Merrin

$2,911 Vol.

64%

Madison Sheahan

$1,907 Vol.

15%

Josh Williams

$741 Vol.

9%

Alea Nadeem

$799 Vol.

3%

Anthony Campbell

$511 Vol.

2%

Wayne Kinsel

$451 Vol.

1%

Jacob Frost

$668 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Derek Merrin at 64% implied probability to win Ohio's 9th Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition as a former state representative and narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur under the prior map, alongside leading fundraising with $608,000 raised and $357,000 cash on hand as of December 2025. Recent escalations in intra-party attacks—including a resurfaced photo of Merrin with disgraced ex-state Rep. Wes Goodman (April 6) and opposition research on state Rep. Josh Williams' old college-era social media posts (early April)—have intensified the race but failed to shift market positioning significantly. Madison Sheahan holds second at 14.5% on her Trump-aligned ICE deputy director experience, despite residency disputes with local GOP and scandal allegations, while Williams trails at 9% as House Majority Whip and recent top quarterly fundraiser. With voter registration closed April 6, focus shifts to turnout in this crowded field challenging Kaptur in a redrawn R+3 toss-up district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,987
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Derek Merrin at 64% implied probability to win Ohio's 9th Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition as a former state representative and narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur under the prior map, alongside leading fundraising with $608,000 raised and $357,000 cash on hand as of December 2025. Recent escalations in intra-party attacks—including a resurfaced photo of Merrin with disgraced ex-state Rep. Wes Goodman (April 6) and opposition research on state Rep. Josh Williams' old college-era social media posts (early April)—have intensified the race but failed to shift market positioning significantly. Madison Sheahan holds second at 14.5% on her Trump-aligned ICE deputy director experience, despite residency disputes with local GOP and scandal allegations, while Williams trails at 9% as House Majority Whip and recent top quarterly fundraiser. With voter registration closed April 6, focus shifts to turnout in this crowded field challenging Kaptur in a redrawn R+3 toss-up district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,987
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Derek Merrin" con 64%, seguido de "Madison Sheahan" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 64¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es "Derek Merrin" con 64%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Madison Sheahan" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.