Traders' overwhelming 98.3% consensus on "No" for the ICE shooter being fired or resigning by March 31 reflects the absence of any credible pressure or developments signaling accountability measures against the agent involved in the January migrant shooting incident at an ICE facility. Official investigations by DHS and ICE have cleared the shooting as justified self-defense, with no disciplinary actions announced and strong agency backing amid border security priorities. No lawsuits, congressional probes, or public outcry have gained traction, leaving scant time before the deadline. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected civil suit advancements, new video evidence, or heightened political scrutiny during budget hearings, though these remain low-probability catalysts per current reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$293,599 Vol.
$293,599 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Sí
$293,599 Vol.
$293,599 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
Volumen
$293,599Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$293,599Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' overwhelming 98.3% consensus on "No" for the ICE shooter being fired or resigning by March 31 reflects the absence of any credible pressure or developments signaling accountability measures against the agent involved in the January migrant shooting incident at an ICE facility. Official investigations by DHS and ICE have cleared the shooting as justified self-defense, with no disciplinary actions announced and strong agency backing amid border security priorities. No lawsuits, congressional probes, or public outcry have gained traction, leaving scant time before the deadline. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected civil suit advancements, new video evidence, or heightened political scrutiny during budget hearings, though these remain low-probability catalysts per current reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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