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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10

Brad Lander 78%

Dan Goldman 20%

Alexa Avilés 1.4%

Yuh-Line Niou 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Brad Lander 78%

Dan Goldman 20%

Alexa Avilés 1.4%

Yuh-Line Niou 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Brad Lander

$0 Vol.

78%

Dan Goldman

$981 Vol.

20%

Alexa Avilés

$0 Vol.

1%

Yuh-Line Niou

$0 Vol.

1%

Cameron Kasky

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors NYC Comptroller Brad Lander at 78% implied probability, driven by his recent polling surge and progressive endorsements ahead of the June 25 contest. An Emerson College poll released June 13 showed Lander leading incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman 26%-22%, with support fragmented among challengers like former Assemblymember Yuh-Line Niou. Lander gained momentum from Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's backing, the New York Working Families Party nomination, and union support, appealing to the district's left-leaning voters critical of Goldman's pro-Israel positions amid Gaza tensions. Goldman holds a fundraising edge but trails in voter enthusiasm, as early voting begins and debates highlight ideological divides in this progressive Manhattan-Brooklyn battleground.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$981
Fecha de finalización
Jun 23, 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors NYC Comptroller Brad Lander at 78% implied probability, driven by his recent polling surge and progressive endorsements ahead of the June 25 contest. An Emerson College poll released June 13 showed Lander leading incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman 26%-22%, with support fragmented among challengers like former Assemblymember Yuh-Line Niou. Lander gained momentum from Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's backing, the New York Working Families Party nomination, and union support, appealing to the district's left-leaning voters critical of Goldman's pro-Israel positions amid Gaza tensions. Goldman holds a fundraising edge but trails in voter enthusiasm, as early voting begins and debates highlight ideological divides in this progressive Manhattan-Brooklyn battleground.

Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors NYC Comptroller Brad Lander at 78% implied probability, driven by his recent polling surge and progressive endorsements ahead of the June 25 contest. An Emerson College poll released June 13 showed Lander leading incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman 26%-22%, with support fragmented among challengers like former Assemblymember Yuh-Line Niou. Lander gained momentum from Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's backing, the New York Working Families Party nomination, and union support, appealing to the district's left-leaning voters critical of Goldman's pro-Israel positions amid Gaza tensions. Goldman holds a fundraising edge but trails in voter enthusiasm, as early voting begins and debates highlight ideological divides in this progressive Manhattan-Brooklyn battleground.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Brad Lander" con 78%, seguido de "Dan Goldman" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" es "Brad Lander" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dan Goldman" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.