Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71.5% to win Florida's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent Emerson College polling (March 29-31) showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominating the GOP primary at 46%—far ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback at 4% each amid 39% undecided—and leading general matchups against Democrats David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%). Florida's Republican trifecta, no Democratic governor since 1999, and consistent GOP edges in UNF and other March surveys reflect the state's rightward shift post-2022, bolstering the incumbent party's path despite the August 18 primaries and high early-cycle uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
$10,866 Vol.
$10,866 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
73%
Demócrata
24%
$10,866 Vol.
$10,866 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$4,215 Vol.
73%
Demócrata
$6,651 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71.5% to win Florida's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent Emerson College polling (March 29-31) showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominating the GOP primary at 46%—far ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback at 4% each amid 39% undecided—and leading general matchups against Democrats David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%). Florida's Republican trifecta, no Democratic governor since 1999, and consistent GOP edges in UNF and other March surveys reflect the state's rightward shift post-2022, bolstering the incumbent party's path despite the August 18 primaries and high early-cycle uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$10,866Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71.5% to win Florida's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent Emerson College polling (March 29-31) showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominating the GOP primary at 46%—far ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback at 4% each amid 39% undecided—and leading general matchups against Democrats David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%). Florida's Republican trifecta, no Democratic governor since 1999, and consistent GOP edges in UNF and other March surveys reflect the state's rightward shift post-2022, bolstering the incumbent party's path despite the August 18 primaries and high early-cycle uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,866Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 71.5% to win Florida's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent Emerson College polling (March 29-31) showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominating the GOP primary at 46%—far ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback at 4% each amid 39% undecided—and leading general matchups against Democrats David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%). Florida's Republican trifecta, no Democratic governor since 1999, and consistent GOP edges in UNF and other March surveys reflect the state's rightward shift post-2022, bolstering the incumbent party's path despite the August 18 primaries and high early-cycle uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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