Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by her two prior victories by roughly nine-point margins and the district’s underlying Republican tilt after recent redistricting. Multiple nonpartisan raters shifted the contest from Likely Republican to Lean Republican in early October following Democratic challenger Leela Gray’s strong third-quarter fundraising of $1.4 million and a late-August House Majority PAC poll showing Gray ahead 51-46. Gray, a retired Army brigadier general who won her primary outright, emphasizes affordability and expanded anti-corruption measures, while Luna highlights her oversight work on issues such as the Epstein files and congressional insider trading. Traders price Luna as the favorite at 73.5 percent, reflecting incumbency and historical margins alongside the narrower polling environment.