Incumbent Senator Chris Coons holds a commanding 94% implied probability in the Delaware Democratic Senate primary on September 15, 2026, driven by his strong 2020 reelection margin of 59.4% and entrenched incumbency advantages in the reliably blue state, including superior fundraising and party endorsements. Challenger Christopher Beardsley, who announced his bid in December 2025, remains a low-profile longshot at 3.7% with limited visibility or resources. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, and the July 14 filing deadline looms as the next key milestone for potential entrants. Odds could shift via a high-profile late challenger, scandal, or health issues, though historical primary base rates favor incumbents decisively.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,158 Vol.
$10,158 Vol.
Chris Coons
94%
Christopher Beardsley
4%
$10,158 Vol.
$10,158 Vol.
Chris Coons
94%
Christopher Beardsley
4%
If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 11:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Senator Chris Coons holds a commanding 94% implied probability in the Delaware Democratic Senate primary on September 15, 2026, driven by his strong 2020 reelection margin of 59.4% and entrenched incumbency advantages in the reliably blue state, including superior fundraising and party endorsements. Challenger Christopher Beardsley, who announced his bid in December 2025, remains a low-profile longshot at 3.7% with limited visibility or resources. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, and the July 14 filing deadline looms as the next key milestone for potential entrants. Odds could shift via a high-profile late challenger, scandal, or health issues, though historical primary base rates favor incumbents decisively.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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