Recent opinion polls, including the May 2026 SCB survey, show the Swedish Social Democrats holding a clear lead at 33-34 percent while the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party trade positions in the high teens. This positioning underpins the market's view of the Sweden Democrats as the most likely runner-up, with the Moderates close behind amid the governing right-wing bloc's overall decline in support. No major policy shifts or scandals have altered the trend in recent weeks, leaving polling averages and bloc dynamics as the primary drivers of trader assessments ahead of the September 13 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSweden Democrats (SD) 72%
Moderate Party (M) 43%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 33%
Left Party (V) 13.3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
33%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
55%

Moderate Party (M)
40%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
13%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
11%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 72%
Moderate Party (M) 43%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 33%
Left Party (V) 13.3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
33%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
55%

Moderate Party (M)
40%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
13%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
11%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls, including the May 2026 SCB survey, show the Swedish Social Democrats holding a clear lead at 33-34 percent while the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party trade positions in the high teens. This positioning underpins the market's view of the Sweden Democrats as the most likely runner-up, with the Moderates close behind amid the governing right-wing bloc's overall decline in support. No major policy shifts or scandals have altered the trend in recent weeks, leaving polling averages and bloc dynamics as the primary drivers of trader assessments ahead of the September 13 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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