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MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 92%

David Trone 7%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$20,623 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 92%

David Trone 7%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$20,623 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$5,217 Vol.

92%

David Trone

$3,218 Vol.

7%

Kiambo White

$3,348 Vol.

1%

George Gluck

$2,173 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Krakower

$1,692 Vol.

<1%

Alexis Goldstein

$1,705 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,840 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,431 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary** as the incumbent representative seeking renomination on June 23, 2026. She defeated predecessor David Trone’s open-seat bid in 2024 after his unsuccessful Senate campaign and has since maintained strong polling margins (often double digits) and high approval ratings despite Trone’s multimillion-dollar self-funded challenge. Key drivers include her established incumbency advantages, endorsements from state and local Democrats, and consistent voter preference in recent surveys even as both candidates have poured personal funds into the race. Trone, a former representative who represented the district from 2019 to 2025, has emphasized his financial resources and prior tenure but faces criticism over past legislative positions and campaign messaging disputes. The remaining candidates, including Kiambo White, George Gluck, and others, have shown negligible support in available data and lack comparable resources or visibility. With early voting underway and the primary one week away, the market’s 92% implied probability for McClain Delaney reflects the sustained polling gap and limited time for shifts. A realistic challenge would require a sharp late surge in turnout favoring Trone or an unforeseen development altering voter perceptions in the final days, though no such movement has appeared in recent reporting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$20,623
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary** as the incumbent representative seeking renomination on June 23, 2026. She defeated predecessor David Trone’s open-seat bid in 2024 after his unsuccessful Senate campaign and has since maintained strong polling margins (often double digits) and high approval ratings despite Trone’s multimillion-dollar self-funded challenge. Key drivers include her established incumbency advantages, endorsements from state and local Democrats, and consistent voter preference in recent surveys even as both candidates have poured personal funds into the race. Trone, a former representative who represented the district from 2019 to 2025, has emphasized his financial resources and prior tenure but faces criticism over past legislative positions and campaign messaging disputes. The remaining candidates, including Kiambo White, George Gluck, and others, have shown negligible support in available data and lack comparable resources or visibility. With early voting underway and the primary one week away, the market’s 92% implied probability for McClain Delaney reflects the sustained polling gap and limited time for shifts. A realistic challenge would require a sharp late surge in turnout favoring Trone or an unforeseen development altering voter perceptions in the final days, though no such movement has appeared in recent reporting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$20,623
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "April McClain Delaney" con 92%, seguido de "David Trone" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generado $20.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" es "April McClain Delaney" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "David Trone" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.