Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight Cochabamba governor race in Bolivia's subnational elections, with Mario Enrique Severich at 30.1% and Sergio Oliver Rodríguez at 27.0% leading a fragmented field where no candidate exceeds 30%. Recent polls from Ciesmori and other firms show similar closeness, driven by vote-splitting among MAS-aligned contenders like Alejandro Mostajo (19.1%) and others amid the party's internal Arce-Morales rift, while Severich benefits from opposition unity under Comunidad Ciudadana. Dynamics stay competitive due to Cochabamba's mixed urban-rural electorate and economic grievances over agriculture and water. Separation could emerge from final debates, endorsements by national figures, or turnout in Santa Cruz-influenced areas, with voting set for early 2026 amid Bolivia's political volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Cochabamba (Bolivia)
Mario Enrique Severich 31.6%
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda 27.8%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 26.9%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales 16.4%
$11,108 Vol.
$11,108 Vol.
Mario Enrique Severich
32%
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda
24%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez
27%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales
16%
Esther Soria Gonzales
11%
Remigio Ancalle
8%
Juan Roberth Flores
7%
Ruth Alina Peralta
6%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
5%
Mario Enrique Severich 31.6%
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda 27.8%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 26.9%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales 16.4%
$11,108 Vol.
$11,108 Vol.
Mario Enrique Severich
32%
Alejandro Mostajo Rueda
24%
Sergio Oliver Rodríguez
27%
Wilfredo Rolando Morales
16%
Esther Soria Gonzales
11%
Remigio Ancalle
8%
Juan Roberth Flores
7%
Ruth Alina Peralta
6%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight Cochabamba governor race in Bolivia's subnational elections, with Mario Enrique Severich at 30.1% and Sergio Oliver Rodríguez at 27.0% leading a fragmented field where no candidate exceeds 30%. Recent polls from Ciesmori and other firms show similar closeness, driven by vote-splitting among MAS-aligned contenders like Alejandro Mostajo (19.1%) and others amid the party's internal Arce-Morales rift, while Severich benefits from opposition unity under Comunidad Ciudadana. Dynamics stay competitive due to Cochabamba's mixed urban-rural electorate and economic grievances over agriculture and water. Separation could emerge from final debates, endorsements by national figures, or turnout in Santa Cruz-influenced areas, with voting set for early 2026 amid Bolivia's political volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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