Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.0-3.4% range at 47.8% implied probability, reflecting sticky core measures and emerging trade risks despite recent headline moderation. November 2024 CPI came in at 2.0% year-over-year, with core gauges at 2.4-2.8%, signaling persistent shelter and services pressures amid a cooling headline trend. Bank of Canada's October Monetary Policy Report projected 2% inflation by late 2026 under baseline assumptions, but traders are factoring in upside from potential U.S. tariffs post-election—signaled at up to 25% on Canadian imports—which could elevate import costs and CAD weakness. Next catalysts include December CPI on January 21 and BoC's January 29 policy decision, with markets implying limited further rate cuts if inflation reaccelerates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoInflación anual de Canadá 2026
Inflación anual de Canadá 2026
3,0-3,4% 39.6%
3,5-3,9% 29.1%
2.0–2.4% 16%
2.5–2.9% 13%
NEW
NEW
Jan 18, 2027
<1,0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
12%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
16%
2.5–2.9%
17%
3,0-3,4%
48%
3,5-3,9%
29%
4.0%+
13%
3,0-3,4% 39.6%
3,5-3,9% 29.1%
2.0–2.4% 16%
2.5–2.9% 13%
NEW
NEW
Jan 18, 2027
<1,0%
$0 Vol.
7%
1.0–1.4%
$0 Vol.
12%
1.5–1.9%
$0 Vol.
4%
2.0–2.4%
$0 Vol.
16%
2.5–2.9%
$393 Vol.
17%
3,0-3,4%
$0 Vol.
48%
3,5-3,9%
$0 Vol.
29%
4.0%+
$0 Vol.
13%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.0-3.4% range at 47.8% implied probability, reflecting sticky core measures and emerging trade risks despite recent headline moderation. November 2024 CPI came in at 2.0% year-over-year, with core gauges at 2.4-2.8%, signaling persistent shelter and services pressures amid a cooling headline trend. Bank of Canada's October Monetary Policy Report projected 2% inflation by late 2026 under baseline assumptions, but traders are factoring in upside from potential U.S. tariffs post-election—signaled at up to 25% on Canadian imports—which could elevate import costs and CAD weakness. Next catalysts include December CPI on January 21 and BoC's January 29 policy decision, with markets implying limited further rate cuts if inflation reaccelerates.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volumen
$393Fecha de finalización
Jan 18, 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.0-3.4% range at 47.8% implied probability, reflecting sticky core measures and emerging trade risks despite recent headline moderation. November 2024 CPI came in at 2.0% year-over-year, with core gauges at 2.4-2.8%, signaling persistent shelter and services pressures amid a cooling headline trend. Bank of Canada's October Monetary Policy Report projected 2% inflation by late 2026 under baseline assumptions, but traders are factoring in upside from potential U.S. tariffs post-election—signaled at up to 25% on Canadian imports—which could elevate import costs and CAD weakness. Next catalysts include December CPI on January 21 and BoC's January 29 policy decision, with markets implying limited further rate cuts if inflation reaccelerates.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volumen
$393Fecha de finalización
Jan 18, 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.0-3.4% range at 47.8% implied probability, reflecting sticky core measures and emerging trade risks despite recent headline moderation. November 2024 CPI came in at 2.0% year-over-year, with core gauges at 2.4-2.8%, signaling persistent shelter and services pressures amid a cooling headline trend. Bank of Canada's October Monetary Policy Report projected 2% inflation by late 2026 under baseline assumptions, but traders are factoring in upside from potential U.S. tariffs post-election—signaled at up to 25% on Canadian imports—which could elevate import costs and CAD weakness. Next catalysts include December CPI on January 21 and BoC's January 29 policy decision, with markets implying limited further rate cuts if inflation reaccelerates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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