The pronounced Democratic lean of California's 51st congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+13 and heavy Democratic voter registration, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and the absence of credible Republican challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has further reinforced safe Democratic seats statewide without altering this district's fundamentals. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a significant personal scandal, health crisis for the incumbent, or dramatic turnout shift in the November general election, could realistically narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-51 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-51 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,026 Vol.
$25,026 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
4%
$25,026 Vol.
$25,026 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$13,046 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$11,979 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic lean of California's 51st congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+13 and heavy Democratic voter registration, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and the absence of credible Republican challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has further reinforced safe Democratic seats statewide without altering this district's fundamentals. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a significant personal scandal, health crisis for the incumbent, or dramatic turnout shift in the November general election, could realistically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$25,026Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic lean of California's 51st congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+13 and heavy Democratic voter registration, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and the absence of credible Republican challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has further reinforced safe Democratic seats statewide without altering this district's fundamentals. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a significant personal scandal, health crisis for the incumbent, or dramatic turnout shift in the November general election, could realistically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,026Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The pronounced Democratic lean of California's 51st congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+13 and heavy Democratic voter registration, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and the absence of credible Republican challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has further reinforced safe Democratic seats statewide without altering this district's fundamentals. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a significant personal scandal, health crisis for the incumbent, or dramatic turnout shift in the November general election, could realistically narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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