Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' commanding fundraising lead with $2.4 million cash-on-hand in the D+16 leaning CA-50 drives 93% trader consensus for a Democratic Party victory, reinforced by post-Prop 50 redistricting that entrenched Democratic advantages in California's top-two primary system. Certified lists following the March 6 filing deadline show Peters facing fellow Democrats Tim Arnous and Aishwarya Mitra, underfunded Republican Steve Cohen, and minor candidates ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Cook rates it Solid Democratic based on Peters' 64% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from GOP primary surge, Peters scandal, health events, legal issues, or national midterm Republican wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCA-50 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-50 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,281 Vol.
$18,281 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$18,281 Vol.
$18,281 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$13,332 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$4,949 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' commanding fundraising lead with $2.4 million cash-on-hand in the D+16 leaning CA-50 drives 93% trader consensus for a Democratic Party victory, reinforced by post-Prop 50 redistricting that entrenched Democratic advantages in California's top-two primary system. Certified lists following the March 6 filing deadline show Peters facing fellow Democrats Tim Arnous and Aishwarya Mitra, underfunded Republican Steve Cohen, and minor candidates ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Cook rates it Solid Democratic based on Peters' 64% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from GOP primary surge, Peters scandal, health events, legal issues, or national midterm Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$18,281Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' commanding fundraising lead with $2.4 million cash-on-hand in the D+16 leaning CA-50 drives 93% trader consensus for a Democratic Party victory, reinforced by post-Prop 50 redistricting that entrenched Democratic advantages in California's top-two primary system. Certified lists following the March 6 filing deadline show Peters facing fellow Democrats Tim Arnous and Aishwarya Mitra, underfunded Republican Steve Cohen, and minor candidates ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Cook rates it Solid Democratic based on Peters' 64% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from GOP primary surge, Peters scandal, health events, legal issues, or national midterm Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,281Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' commanding fundraising lead with $2.4 million cash-on-hand in the D+16 leaning CA-50 drives 93% trader consensus for a Democratic Party victory, reinforced by post-Prop 50 redistricting that entrenched Democratic advantages in California's top-two primary system. Certified lists following the March 6 filing deadline show Peters facing fellow Democrats Tim Arnous and Aishwarya Mitra, underfunded Republican Steve Cohen, and minor candidates ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Cook rates it Solid Democratic based on Peters' 64% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from GOP primary surge, Peters scandal, health events, legal issues, or national midterm Republican wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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