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¿Lanzará Israel una gran ofensiva terrestre en el Líbano antes del 31 de enero?

5% chance

$75,745 Vol.

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$75,745
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Creado en
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

¿Lanzará Israel una gran ofensiva terrestre en el Líbano antes del 31 de enero?

5% chance

$75,745 Vol.

Acerca de

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$75,745
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Creado en
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.