Market icon
Política·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska

Market icon
Política·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 14%

Nancy Dahlstrom 10%

Edna DeVries 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,399 Vol.

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 14%

Nancy Dahlstrom 10%

Edna DeVries 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,399 Vol.

Market icon

Tom Begich

$93,868 Vol.

25%

Market icon

Bernadette Wilson

$129,227 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Nancy Dahlstrom

$91,970 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Edna DeVries

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Treg Taylor

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Lisa Murkowski

$2,173 Vol.

7%

Market icon

David Bronson

$2,133 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

5%

Market icon

James Parkin

$0 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Mary Peltola

$0 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Matt Heilala

$23,375 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Adam Crum

$31,654 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's wide-open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, driven by his lead in a February Lake Research Partners poll (22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds) and roughly $350,000 in early fundraising mostly from in-state donors. The nonpartisan blanket primary on August 18 advances the top four candidates to the November 3 ranked-choice voting general, where a fragmented Republican field—including Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (lagging at $17,000 raised), ex-AG Treg Taylor, ex-Anchorage Mayor David Bronson, and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries—splits support among over a dozen contenders. Begich differentiates via Democratic unity and recent Southeast campaigning; consolidation could hinge on GOP endorsements, June 1 filing deadline entrants like independent Gregg Brelsford, and fresh polls measuring name recognition in this low-information environment.

In Alaska's wide-open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, driven by his lead in a February Lake Research Partners poll (22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds) and roughly $350,000 in early fundraising mostly from in-state donors. The nonpartisan blanket primary on August 18 advances the top four candidates to the November 3 ranked-choice voting general, where a fragmented Republican field—including Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (lagging at $17,000 raised), ex-AG Treg Taylor, ex-Anchorage Mayor David Bronson, and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries—splits support among over a dozen contenders. Begich differentiates via Democratic unity and recent Southeast campaigning; consolidation could hinge on GOP endorsements, June 1 filing deadline entrants like independent Gregg Brelsford, and fresh polls measuring name recognition in this low-information environment.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's wide-open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, driven by his lead in a February Lake Research Partners poll (22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds) and roughly $350,000 in early fundraising mostly from in-state donors. The nonpartisan blanket primary on August 18 advances the top four candidates to the November 3 ranked-choice voting general, where a fragmented Republican field—including Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (lagging at $17,000 raised), ex-AG Treg Taylor, ex-Anchorage Mayor David Bronson, and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries—splits support among over a dozen contenders. Begich differentiates via Democratic unity and recent Southeast campaigning; consolidation could hinge on GOP endorsements, June 1 filing deadline entrants like independent Gregg Brelsford, and fresh polls measuring name recognition in this low-information environment.

In Alaska's wide-open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, driven by his lead in a February Lake Research Partners poll (22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds) and roughly $350,000 in early fundraising mostly from in-state donors. The nonpartisan blanket primary on August 18 advances the top four candidates to the November 3 ranked-choice voting general, where a fragmented Republican field—including Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (lagging at $17,000 raised), ex-AG Treg Taylor, ex-Anchorage Mayor David Bronson, and Mat-Su Borough Mayor Edna DeVries—splits support among over a dozen contenders. Begich differentiates via Democratic unity and recent Southeast campaigning; consolidation could hinge on GOP endorsements, June 1 filing deadline entrants like independent Gregg Brelsford, and fresh polls measuring name recognition in this low-information environment.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Begich" con 25%, seguido de "Bernadette Wilson" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " ha generado $374.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es "Tom Begich" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bernadette Wilson" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.