Recent forecasts from Singapore's National Environment Agency (NEA) project a daytime high near 33°C on March 26, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 39.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C at 34.5%, amid persistent dry conditions from the weakening northeast monsoon. Historical March maxima average 32.5°C at Changi Airport, but urban heat island effects in central areas and high solar insolation could push readings higher, while afternoon sea breezes or isolated thunderstorms—common in transitional seasons—might cap peaks at 32°C by enhancing convective cooling. Ensemble models like ECMWF show slight divergence, with 70% odds for 32–34°C, reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty in tropical humidity regimes. Traders eye NEA's 11 AM update for resolution clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 42%
32°C 35%
34°C 13%
31°C 8%
$29,551 Vol.
$29,551 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
35%
33°C
42%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 42%
32°C 35%
34°C 13%
31°C 8%
$29,551 Vol.
$29,551 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
35%
33°C
42%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Singapore's National Environment Agency (NEA) project a daytime high near 33°C on March 26, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 39.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 32°C at 34.5%, amid persistent dry conditions from the weakening northeast monsoon. Historical March maxima average 32.5°C at Changi Airport, but urban heat island effects in central areas and high solar insolation could push readings higher, while afternoon sea breezes or isolated thunderstorms—common in transitional seasons—might cap peaks at 32°C by enhancing convective cooling. Ensemble models like ECMWF show slight divergence, with 70% odds for 32–34°C, reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty in tropical humidity regimes. Traders eye NEA's 11 AM update for resolution clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen