Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in Seattle on March 26, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 52°F under partly cloudy skies, driven by a cool marine air mass surging inland behind a deepening upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, updated in the past 24 hours, converged on this cooler outcome after shifting lower from earlier projections of 54-55°F, as satellite imagery confirmed persistent low-level clouds limiting daytime heating. March climatology supports this range, with Seattle's average high near 54°F, though historical analogs to similar trough patterns show frequent 1-2°F underperformance. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z model suite for potential refinements ahead of the daily maximum observation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 26. März?
52-53°F 54%
54-55°F 23%
50-51°F 15%
56-57°F 6.8%
$39,198 Vol.
$39,198 Vol.
43°F oder niedriger
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
54%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F oder höher
<1%
52-53°F 54%
54-55°F 23%
50-51°F 15%
56-57°F 6.8%
$39,198 Vol.
$39,198 Vol.
43°F oder niedriger
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
54%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in Seattle on March 26, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 52°F under partly cloudy skies, driven by a cool marine air mass surging inland behind a deepening upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, updated in the past 24 hours, converged on this cooler outcome after shifting lower from earlier projections of 54-55°F, as satellite imagery confirmed persistent low-level clouds limiting daytime heating. March climatology supports this range, with Seattle's average high near 54°F, though historical analogs to similar trough patterns show frequent 1-2°F underperformance. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z model suite for potential refinements ahead of the daily maximum observation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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