National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on March 25 indicate a high temperature firmly in the 50-51°F range, aligning with trader consensus at 99.8% market-implied probability amid persistent cool-season weather patterns. Cool marine air influenced by a strong Pacific high-pressure ridge and low-level onshore flow has suppressed daytime heating, with model ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converging on peaks around 50°F based on recent observational data from Sea-Tac Airport. Climatologically, late March highs average 54°F but rarely exceed 60°F this early; current dew points near 45°F further limit warm-season potential. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt breakdown of the marine layer or unexpected downslope winds from the Cascades, though upper-air analyses show minimal risk before resolution. Updated hourly observations expected throughout the day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 99.8%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$105,318 Vol.
$105,318 Vol.
50-51°F
100%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 99.8%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$105,318 Vol.
$105,318 Vol.
50-51°F
100%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on March 25 indicate a high temperature firmly in the 50-51°F range, aligning with trader consensus at 99.8% market-implied probability amid persistent cool-season weather patterns. Cool marine air influenced by a strong Pacific high-pressure ridge and low-level onshore flow has suppressed daytime heating, with model ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converging on peaks around 50°F based on recent observational data from Sea-Tac Airport. Climatologically, late March highs average 54°F but rarely exceed 60°F this early; current dew points near 45°F further limit warm-season potential. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt breakdown of the marine layer or unexpected downslope winds from the Cascades, though upper-air analyses show minimal risk before resolution. Updated hourly observations expected throughout the day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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