Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast points to a high of 26-27°C on March 28 amid sunny intervals and light winds, anchoring trader consensus around those outcomes at over 95% combined implied probability. This aligns with a recent warm spell, including 26°C on March 27, driven by subtropical high pressure and lingering El Niño influences elevating late-March temperatures above the 23-25°C historical average. Lower odds for 28°C+ reflect sea breeze moderation and urban heat island limits, while sub-25°C scenarios fade due to minimal rain risk per ensemble models. Traders eye real-time updates from HKO stations for final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on March 28?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 28?
27°C 49%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
28°C or higher 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
41%
28°C or higher
12%
27°C 49%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
28°C or higher 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
41%
28°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast points to a high of 26-27°C on March 28 amid sunny intervals and light winds, anchoring trader consensus around those outcomes at over 95% combined implied probability. This aligns with a recent warm spell, including 26°C on March 27, driven by subtropical high pressure and lingering El Niño influences elevating late-March temperatures above the 23-25°C historical average. Lower odds for 28°C+ reflect sea breeze moderation and urban heat island limits, while sub-25°C scenarios fade due to minimal rain risk per ensemble models. Traders eye real-time updates from HKO stations for final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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