Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around highs of 76–83°F for Denver on March 26, with 82–83°F leading at 23.5%, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model ensembles projecting a strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup favors downslope winds and adiabatic warming typical of late-winter chinook events in Colorado, pushing temperatures well above the March climatological average of 57°F. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: the 12Z GFS run peaks near 82°F with clear skies, while ECMWF implies slightly cooler 78–80°F due to higher thin cirrus cloud cover; boundary layer moisture and ridge axis precision add uncertainty. Watch 00Z model updates overnight for potential shifts as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
82-83°F 23%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 17.0%
78-79°F 17%
$45,162 Vol.
$45,162 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 23%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 17.0%
78-79°F 17%
$45,162 Vol.
$45,162 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around highs of 76–83°F for Denver on March 26, with 82–83°F leading at 23.5%, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model ensembles projecting a strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup favors downslope winds and adiabatic warming typical of late-winter chinook events in Colorado, pushing temperatures well above the March climatological average of 57°F. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: the 12Z GFS run peaks near 82°F with clear skies, while ECMWF implies slightly cooler 78–80°F due to higher thin cirrus cloud cover; boundary layer moisture and ridge axis precision add uncertainty. Watch 00Z model updates overnight for potential shifts as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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