Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 80-81°F (42%) as Atlanta's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models projecting a high near 81°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Southerly winds and above-normal temperatures—several degrees warmer than the March climatological average of 66°F—have driven recent odds upward, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing tight clustering around 80-83°F following yesterday's 12z model runs. Lower probabilities for 78-79°F and 82-83°F account for minor uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon clouds, while extremes below 76°F or above 85°F remain unlikely absent unexpected cold fronts or excessive heating. Updated hourly guidance expected by March 25 will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Atlanta am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Atlanta am 26. März?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 25%
82–83°F 19%
84-85°F 4.0%
$55,684 Vol.
$55,684 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
45%
82–83°F
19%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 25%
82–83°F 19%
84-85°F 4.0%
$55,684 Vol.
$55,684 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
45%
82–83°F
19%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 80-81°F (42%) as Atlanta's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models projecting a high near 81°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Southerly winds and above-normal temperatures—several degrees warmer than the March climatological average of 66°F—have driven recent odds upward, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing tight clustering around 80-83°F following yesterday's 12z model runs. Lower probabilities for 78-79°F and 82-83°F account for minor uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon clouds, while extremes below 76°F or above 85°F remain unlikely absent unexpected cold fronts or excessive heating. Updated hourly guidance expected by March 25 will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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