Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams holds a commanding 90% implied probability among traders for the GA-05 Democratic primary on May 21, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage, fundraising dominance exceeding $300,000 in recent filings, and consistent polling leads above 70% in the safely Democratic Atlanta district. Challengers like former DeKalb County CEO Victor Hill (5%) have gained minimal traction despite name recognition, while Andres Castro (4%) and Arnetress Beatty (1%) show limited organizational support. No significant developments in the past week, such as endorsements or debates, have shifted sentiment; early voting starts May 6, but late scandals or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow her lead in this low-turnout primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNikema Williams 90%
Victor Hill 4.7%
Andres Castro 4%
Arnetress Beatty 1.0%
Nikema Williams
90%
Victor Hill
5%
Andres Castro
4%
Arnetress Beatty
1%
Nikema Williams 90%
Victor Hill 4.7%
Andres Castro 4%
Arnetress Beatty 1.0%
Nikema Williams
90%
Victor Hill
5%
Andres Castro
4%
Arnetress Beatty
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 25, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams holds a commanding 90% implied probability among traders for the GA-05 Democratic primary on May 21, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage, fundraising dominance exceeding $300,000 in recent filings, and consistent polling leads above 70% in the safely Democratic Atlanta district. Challengers like former DeKalb County CEO Victor Hill (5%) have gained minimal traction despite name recognition, while Andres Castro (4%) and Arnetress Beatty (1%) show limited organizational support. No significant developments in the past week, such as endorsements or debates, have shifted sentiment; early voting starts May 6, but late scandals or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow her lead in this low-turnout primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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