Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nirav Shah at 38% implied probability to win Maine's June 9 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting consistent polling leads—including 25% in a February UNH survey and 31-35% in campaign-sponsored polls—bolstered by his background as former Maine CDC director amid health policy priorities, endorsements from dozens of health leaders, and recent momentum from a Biddeford town hall. Hannah Pingree follows at 25.5%, gaining on name recognition as former U.S. Representative and recent Pan Atlantic poll support (18%). Troy Jackson holds 16%, aligning with his state Senate Majority Leader role and progressive appeal shown in polls. Shenna Bellows slips to 10.2%, while the crowded ranked-choice voting field leaves room for shifts via undecideds, fundraising, and debates ahead of the open-seat contest replacing term-limited Gov. Janet Mills.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNirav Shah 38%
Hannah Pingree 26%
Troy Jackson 16%
Shenna Bellows 9.8%
$45,271 Vol.
$45,271 Vol.
Nirav Shah
38%
Hannah Pingree
26%
Troy Jackson
16%
Shenna Bellows
10%
Angus King III
4%
Jason Cherry
<1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
Nirav Shah 38%
Hannah Pingree 26%
Troy Jackson 16%
Shenna Bellows 9.8%
$45,271 Vol.
$45,271 Vol.
Nirav Shah
38%
Hannah Pingree
26%
Troy Jackson
16%
Shenna Bellows
10%
Angus King III
4%
Jason Cherry
<1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nirav Shah at 38% implied probability to win Maine's June 9 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting consistent polling leads—including 25% in a February UNH survey and 31-35% in campaign-sponsored polls—bolstered by his background as former Maine CDC director amid health policy priorities, endorsements from dozens of health leaders, and recent momentum from a Biddeford town hall. Hannah Pingree follows at 25.5%, gaining on name recognition as former U.S. Representative and recent Pan Atlantic poll support (18%). Troy Jackson holds 16%, aligning with his state Senate Majority Leader role and progressive appeal shown in polls. Shenna Bellows slips to 10.2%, while the crowded ranked-choice voting field leaves room for shifts via undecideds, fundraising, and debates ahead of the open-seat contest replacing term-limited Gov. Janet Mills.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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