Trader consensus in the Maine Governor Democratic primary on June 9 favors Nirav Shah at 38% implied probability, driven by his consistent leads in recent polls like the March 19-23 Impact Research survey (31% initial ballot) and February UNH poll (25%), reflecting name recognition from directing Maine CDC during the pandemic and endorsements from dozens of health care leaders. Hannah Pingree trails at 25.5% on her state House speakership and chief-of-staff role under Gov. Janet Mills, while Troy Jackson's 16% stems from his Senate presidency and a recent internal poll tying him with Shah after voter information. Shenna Bellows holds 10% via her Secretary of State profile, amid a crowded field now set after March 16 qualification deadline; ranked-choice voting dynamics and upcoming debates could shift second preferences before the primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNirav Shah 39%
Hannah Pingree 26%
Troy Jackson 16%
Shenna Bellows 9.6%
$45,271 Vol.
$45,271 Vol.
Nirav Shah
39%
Hannah Pingree
26%
Troy Jackson
16%
Shenna Bellows
10%
Angus King III
4%
Jason Cherry
<1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
Nirav Shah 39%
Hannah Pingree 26%
Troy Jackson 16%
Shenna Bellows 9.6%
$45,271 Vol.
$45,271 Vol.
Nirav Shah
39%
Hannah Pingree
26%
Troy Jackson
16%
Shenna Bellows
10%
Angus King III
4%
Jason Cherry
<1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Maine Governor Democratic primary on June 9 favors Nirav Shah at 38% implied probability, driven by his consistent leads in recent polls like the March 19-23 Impact Research survey (31% initial ballot) and February UNH poll (25%), reflecting name recognition from directing Maine CDC during the pandemic and endorsements from dozens of health care leaders. Hannah Pingree trails at 25.5% on her state House speakership and chief-of-staff role under Gov. Janet Mills, while Troy Jackson's 16% stems from his Senate presidency and a recent internal poll tying him with Shah after voter information. Shenna Bellows holds 10% via her Secretary of State profile, amid a crowded field now set after March 16 qualification deadline; ranked-choice voting dynamics and upcoming debates could shift second preferences before the primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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