Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s U.S. Senate seat on August 11 with approximately 59 percent of the vote against Representative Angie Craig’s 39.5 percent, producing a margin near 19.5 points that aligns with the market’s dominant 15–20 percent outcome. The result reflects Flanagan’s strong performance among progressive voters, reinforced by her early party endorsement after Craig stepped back from the endorsing convention, plus support from figures aligned with the party’s left wing. Pre-primary polling had shown a tighter race, yet turnout and district-level dynamics widened the gap. With final ballots largely counted, scenarios that could shift the assessed margin remain limited to any outstanding provisional or late-absentee ballots still being tabulated.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFlanagan 15–20% 97.9%
Flanagan 20%+ 2.0%
Craig 5–10 % 1.7%
Craig <5% 1.6%
$47,729 Vol.
$47,729 Vol.
11. Aug. 2026
Flanagan 20%+
2%
Flanagan 15–20%
98%
Flanagan 10–15%
<1%
Flanagan 5–10%
1%
Flanagan <5%
2%
Craig <5%
2%
Craig 5–10 %
2%
Craig 10–15 %
2%
Craig 15–20%
<1%
Craig 20%+
1%
Flanagan 15–20% 97.9%
Flanagan 20%+ 2.0%
Craig 5–10 % 1.7%
Craig <5% 1.6%
$47,729 Vol.
$47,729 Vol.
11. Aug. 2026
Flanagan 20%+
$1,541 Vol.
2%
Flanagan 15–20%
$17,353 Vol.
98%
Flanagan 10–15%
$9,838 Vol.
<1%
Flanagan 5–10%
$4,635 Vol.
1%
Flanagan <5%
$9,182 Vol.
2%
Craig <5%
$1,394 Vol.
2%
Craig 5–10 %
$2,152 Vol.
2%
Craig 10–15 %
$663 Vol.
2%
Craig 15–20%
$489 Vol.
<1%
Craig 20%+
$483 Vol.
1%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s U.S. Senate seat on August 11 with approximately 59 percent of the vote against Representative Angie Craig’s 39.5 percent, producing a margin near 19.5 points that aligns with the market’s dominant 15–20 percent outcome. The result reflects Flanagan’s strong performance among progressive voters, reinforced by her early party endorsement after Craig stepped back from the endorsing convention, plus support from figures aligned with the party’s left wing. Pre-primary polling had shown a tighter race, yet turnout and district-level dynamics widened the gap. With final ballots largely counted, scenarios that could shift the assessed margin remain limited to any outstanding provisional or late-absentee ballots still being tabulated.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volumen
$47,729Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s U.S. Senate seat on August 11 with approximately 59 percent of the vote against Representative Angie Craig’s 39.5 percent, producing a margin near 19.5 points that aligns with the market’s dominant 15–20 percent outcome. The result reflects Flanagan’s strong performance among progressive voters, reinforced by her early party endorsement after Craig stepped back from the endorsing convention, plus support from figures aligned with the party’s left wing. Pre-primary polling had shown a tighter race, yet turnout and district-level dynamics widened the gap. With final ballots largely counted, scenarios that could shift the assessed margin remain limited to any outstanding provisional or late-absentee ballots still being tabulated.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$47,729Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s U.S. Senate seat on August 11 with approximately 59 percent of the vote against Representative Angie Craig’s 39.5 percent, producing a margin near 19.5 points that aligns with the market’s dominant 15–20 percent outcome. The result reflects Flanagan’s strong performance among progressive voters, reinforced by her early party endorsement after Craig stepped back from the endorsing convention, plus support from figures aligned with the party’s left wing. Pre-primary polling had shown a tighter race, yet turnout and district-level dynamics widened the gap. With final ballots largely counted, scenarios that could shift the assessed margin remain limited to any outstanding provisional or late-absentee ballots still being tabulated.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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