Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan dominates trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary, driven by her early April 2024 campaign launch, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and key endorsements from Gov. Tim Walz and Sen. Amy Klobuchar, bolstering her statewide name recognition and appeal to DFL base voters. Recent polling aggregates, including a September SurveyUSA poll showing her 15-point lead over challengers, reinforce this positioning amid Tina Smith's retirement creating an open 2026 race. Rep. Angie Craig trails at 16.5% as a strong potential entrant with crossover appeal in swing districts, while other statewide officials like AG Keith Ellison and House Speaker Melissa Hortman lag due to lower fundraising and focus on current roles. Odds could shift with candidate filings by January 2026 or late-breaking endorsements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPeggy Flanagan 79%
Angie Craig 16%
Melisa López Franzen 1.3%
Keith Ellison 1.3%
$28,553 Vol.
$28,553 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
79%
Angie Craig
16%
Melisa López Franzen
1%
Keith Ellison
1%
Melisa Hortman
1%
Betty McCollum
1%
Ilhan Omar
1%
Steve Simon
1%
David Wellstone
<1%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Peggy Flanagan 79%
Angie Craig 16%
Melisa López Franzen 1.3%
Keith Ellison 1.3%
$28,553 Vol.
$28,553 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
79%
Angie Craig
16%
Melisa López Franzen
1%
Keith Ellison
1%
Melisa Hortman
1%
Betty McCollum
1%
Ilhan Omar
1%
Steve Simon
1%
David Wellstone
<1%
Jacob Frey
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan dominates trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary, driven by her early April 2024 campaign launch, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and key endorsements from Gov. Tim Walz and Sen. Amy Klobuchar, bolstering her statewide name recognition and appeal to DFL base voters. Recent polling aggregates, including a September SurveyUSA poll showing her 15-point lead over challengers, reinforce this positioning amid Tina Smith's retirement creating an open 2026 race. Rep. Angie Craig trails at 16.5% as a strong potential entrant with crossover appeal in swing districts, while other statewide officials like AG Keith Ellison and House Speaker Melissa Hortman lag due to lower fundraising and focus on current roles. Odds could shift with candidate filings by January 2026 or late-breaking endorsements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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