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Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Market icon

Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Labor 40+ 100.0%

Labor 30–39 <1%

Labor 20–29 <1%

Labor 10–19 <1%

Polymarket

$552,244 Vol.

Labor 40+ 100.0%

Labor 30–39 <1%

Labor 20–29 <1%

Labor 10–19 <1%

Polymarket

$552,244 Vol.

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Labor 40+

$87,866 Vol.

Yes

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Labor 30–39

$48,255 Vol.

No

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Labor 20–29

$15,340 Vol.

No

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Labor 10–19

$8,891 Vol.

No

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Labor 1–9

$14,614 Vol.

No

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Coalition 0–9 (Tie)

$16,734 Vol.

No

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Coalition 10–19

$4,032 Vol.

No

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Coalition 20–29

$1,368 Vol.

No

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Coalition 30+

$351,899 Vol.

No

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Other

$3,244 Vol.

No

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30).

If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Volumen
$552,244
Enddatum
3. Mai 2025
Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2025, 6:34 PM ET
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30).

If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Volumen
$552,244
Enddatum
3. Mai 2025
Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2025, 6:34 PM ET
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Labor 40+" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Labor 30–39" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $552.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 15, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" ist „Labor 40+" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Labor 30–39" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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