Traders price a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 at 53.5% Yes, reflecting a closely contested balance driven by recent diplomatic efforts clashing with persistent military escalation. Ukraine's Easter truce proposal, relayed via positive US talks on April 1, met Russian aerial strikes and Kremlin insistence on immediate Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas, stalling trilateral negotiations in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Ongoing battlefield stalemates, with Russia eyeing offensives in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia per captured plans, counter Ukraine's fortified positions and Western aid. US midterm pressures and potential aid shifts could tip toward de-escalation, while major Russian advances or aid cuts might prolong fighting into 2028.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2027
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Traders price a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 at 53.5% Yes, reflecting a closely contested balance driven by recent diplomatic efforts clashing with persistent military escalation. Ukraine's Easter truce proposal, relayed via positive US talks on April 1, met Russian aerial strikes and Kremlin insistence on immediate Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas, stalling trilateral negotiations in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Ongoing battlefield stalemates, with Russia eyeing offensives in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia per captured plans, counter Ukraine's fortified positions and Western aid. US midterm pressures and potential aid shifts could tip toward de-escalation, while major Russian advances or aid cuts might prolong fighting into 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volumen
$3,781Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Traders price a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 at 53.5% Yes, reflecting a closely contested balance driven by recent diplomatic efforts clashing with persistent military escalation. Ukraine's Easter truce proposal, relayed via positive US talks on April 1, met Russian aerial strikes and Kremlin insistence on immediate Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas, stalling trilateral negotiations in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Ongoing battlefield stalemates, with Russia eyeing offensives in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia per captured plans, counter Ukraine's fortified positions and Western aid. US midterm pressures and potential aid shifts could tip toward de-escalation, while major Russian advances or aid cuts might prolong fighting into 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volumen
$3,781Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 at 53.5% Yes, reflecting a closely contested balance driven by recent diplomatic efforts clashing with persistent military escalation. Ukraine's Easter truce proposal, relayed via positive US talks on April 1, met Russian aerial strikes and Kremlin insistence on immediate Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas, stalling trilateral negotiations in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Ongoing battlefield stalemates, with Russia eyeing offensives in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia per captured plans, counter Ukraine's fortified positions and Western aid. US midterm pressures and potential aid shifts could tip toward de-escalation, while major Russian advances or aid cuts might prolong fighting into 2028.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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