Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including intensified assaults near Pokrovsk and Kurakhove as of late December 2024, signal no de-escalation toward a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97% "No." President Putin reiterated demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions, demilitarization, and neutrality in a recent state media interview, while President Zelenskyy maintains insistence on full Russian troop withdrawal and NATO aspirations, with no bilateral negotiations reported in the past 30 days. Western sanctions and aid sustain the stalemate amid U.S. leadership transition uncertainties; realistic shifts could arise from severe economic pressures on Russia, major diplomatic breakthroughs like U.S.-brokered talks, or battlefield collapses, though historical patterns favor prolonged attrition in such conflicts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertRussland x Ukraine Waffenruhe bis 30. April 2026?
Russland x Ukraine Waffenruhe bis 30. April 2026?
Ja
$976,190 Vol.
$976,190 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Ja
$976,190 Vol.
$976,190 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including intensified assaults near Pokrovsk and Kurakhove as of late December 2024, signal no de-escalation toward a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97% "No." President Putin reiterated demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions, demilitarization, and neutrality in a recent state media interview, while President Zelenskyy maintains insistence on full Russian troop withdrawal and NATO aspirations, with no bilateral negotiations reported in the past 30 days. Western sanctions and aid sustain the stalemate amid U.S. leadership transition uncertainties; realistic shifts could arise from severe economic pressures on Russia, major diplomatic breakthroughs like U.S.-brokered talks, or battlefield collapses, though historical patterns favor prolonged attrition in such conflicts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$976,190Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including intensified assaults near Pokrovsk and Kurakhove as of late December 2024, signal no de-escalation toward a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97% "No." President Putin reiterated demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions, demilitarization, and neutrality in a recent state media interview, while President Zelenskyy maintains insistence on full Russian troop withdrawal and NATO aspirations, with no bilateral negotiations reported in the past 30 days. Western sanctions and aid sustain the stalemate amid U.S. leadership transition uncertainties; realistic shifts could arise from severe economic pressures on Russia, major diplomatic breakthroughs like U.S.-brokered talks, or battlefield collapses, though historical patterns favor prolonged attrition in such conflicts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volumen
$976,190Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk, including intensified assaults near Pokrovsk and Kurakhove as of late December 2024, signal no de-escalation toward a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97% "No." President Putin reiterated demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions, demilitarization, and neutrality in a recent state media interview, while President Zelenskyy maintains insistence on full Russian troop withdrawal and NATO aspirations, with no bilateral negotiations reported in the past 30 days. Western sanctions and aid sustain the stalemate amid U.S. leadership transition uncertainties; realistic shifts could arise from severe economic pressures on Russia, major diplomatic breakthroughs like U.S.-brokered talks, or battlefield collapses, though historical patterns favor prolonged attrition in such conflicts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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