US-brokered peace talks between Russia and Ukraine remain paused amid the escalating Iran conflict and Middle East distractions, driving trader consensus toward "No" at 68.5% for a ceasefire by end-2026. Recent military escalations, including Russia's nearly 1,000 drone and missile strikes on Ukraine March 23-24 and advances capturing 12 eastern settlements in early March, have overshadowed diplomacy. Ukraine responded with long-range strikes on Russian oil facilities March 26, while Zelenskiy urged allies to maintain pressure ahead of inconclusive US-Ukraine talks March 22. Russia's insistence on territorial concessions from Donetsk clashes with Kyiv's rejection, amid a new spring offensive and no imminent negotiation dates, sustaining high barriers to de-escalation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$12,270,544 Vol.
$12,270,544 Vol.
Ja
$12,270,544 Vol.
$12,270,544 Vol.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
Abwickler
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Abwickler
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
US-brokered peace talks between Russia and Ukraine remain paused amid the escalating Iran conflict and Middle East distractions, driving trader consensus toward "No" at 68.5% for a ceasefire by end-2026. Recent military escalations, including Russia's nearly 1,000 drone and missile strikes on Ukraine March 23-24 and advances capturing 12 eastern settlements in early March, have overshadowed diplomacy. Ukraine responded with long-range strikes on Russian oil facilities March 26, while Zelenskiy urged allies to maintain pressure ahead of inconclusive US-Ukraine talks March 22. Russia's insistence on territorial concessions from Donetsk clashes with Kyiv's rejection, amid a new spring offensive and no imminent negotiation dates, sustaining high barriers to de-escalation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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