Russian forces consolidated control over Obratne southeast of Oleksandrivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast after advances on March 16-17, 2026, while trader consensus prices Ukrainian re-entry by March 31 at just 3%, reflecting no confirmed liberation per Institute for the Study of War maps as of March 29. Ukrainian counteroffensives since late February have reclaimed nearby Ternove on March 10, Berezove, and areas north of Huliaipole, yielding net territorial gains of around 460 square kilometers, but these villages at the Zaporizhzhia-Dnipropetrovsk-Donetsk tripoint remain occupied amid gray-zone clashes. Unverified Russian reports of Ukrainian special forces in Temyrivka surfaced March 28-29, heightening uncertainty, though manpower constraints and Russian reinforcements sustain defensive lines; late breakthroughs or updated assessments could shift outcomes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird die Ukraine bis zum... wieder in Obratne oder Temyrivka einreisen?
Wird die Ukraine bis zum... wieder in Obratne oder Temyrivka einreisen?
$11,879 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31. März
3%
30. April
30%
$11,879 Vol.
31. März
$10,687 Vol.
3%
30. April
$1,193 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Obratne (47.827331° N, 36.548744° E) or Temyrivka (47.825114° N, 36.570672° E), Zaporizhzhya Oblast, between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces consolidated control over Obratne southeast of Oleksandrivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast after advances on March 16-17, 2026, while trader consensus prices Ukrainian re-entry by March 31 at just 3%, reflecting no confirmed liberation per Institute for the Study of War maps as of March 29. Ukrainian counteroffensives since late February have reclaimed nearby Ternove on March 10, Berezove, and areas north of Huliaipole, yielding net territorial gains of around 460 square kilometers, but these villages at the Zaporizhzhia-Dnipropetrovsk-Donetsk tripoint remain occupied amid gray-zone clashes. Unverified Russian reports of Ukrainian special forces in Temyrivka surfaced March 28-29, heightening uncertainty, though manpower constraints and Russian reinforcements sustain defensive lines; late breakthroughs or updated assessments could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Obratne (47.827331° N, 36.548744° E) or Temyrivka (47.825114° N, 36.570672° E), Zaporizhzhya Oblast, between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volumen
$11,879Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Obratne (47.827331° N, 36.548744° E) or Temyrivka (47.825114° N, 36.570672° E), Zaporizhzhya Oblast, between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces consolidated control over Obratne southeast of Oleksandrivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast after advances on March 16-17, 2026, while trader consensus prices Ukrainian re-entry by March 31 at just 3%, reflecting no confirmed liberation per Institute for the Study of War maps as of March 29. Ukrainian counteroffensives since late February have reclaimed nearby Ternove on March 10, Berezove, and areas north of Huliaipole, yielding net territorial gains of around 460 square kilometers, but these villages at the Zaporizhzhia-Dnipropetrovsk-Donetsk tripoint remain occupied amid gray-zone clashes. Unverified Russian reports of Ukrainian special forces in Temyrivka surfaced March 28-29, heightening uncertainty, though manpower constraints and Russian reinforcements sustain defensive lines; late breakthroughs or updated assessments could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Obratne (47.827331° N, 36.548744° E) or Temyrivka (47.825114° N, 36.570672° E), Zaporizhzhya Oblast, between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,879Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces consolidated control over Obratne southeast of Oleksandrivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast after advances on March 16-17, 2026, while trader consensus prices Ukrainian re-entry by March 31 at just 3%, reflecting no confirmed liberation per Institute for the Study of War maps as of March 29. Ukrainian counteroffensives since late February have reclaimed nearby Ternove on March 10, Berezove, and areas north of Huliaipole, yielding net territorial gains of around 460 square kilometers, but these villages at the Zaporizhzhia-Dnipropetrovsk-Donetsk tripoint remain occupied amid gray-zone clashes. Unverified Russian reports of Ukrainian special forces in Temyrivka surfaced March 28-29, heightening uncertainty, though manpower constraints and Russian reinforcements sustain defensive lines; late breakthroughs or updated assessments could shift outcomes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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