Russian forces have conducted ongoing offensive operations near Dovha Balka, a small settlement southwest of Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast, as part of their broader push in eastern Ukraine, but ISW assessments through March 20 confirm no geolocated advances into the village itself amid Ukrainian defensive stands. Recent weeks saw intensified Russian drone strikes and probing assaults northeast of Pokrovsk and south of Druzhkivka, yet progress remains incremental due to fortified Ukrainian positions and high attrition rates. Trader consensus reflects skepticism on a breakthrough by the March 31 deadline, with key risks including sudden escalations from reinforcements or weather improvements, while no major diplomatic shifts alter frontline dynamics. Resolution hinges on verified entry via official maps or imagery.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Russland bis... in Dovha Balka einmarschieren?
Wird Russland bis... in Dovha Balka einmarschieren?
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
31. März
2%
30. April
35%
$8,398 Vol.
31. März
$7,612 Vol.
2%
30. April
$786 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.48905979884506° N, 37.60464316125542° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted ongoing offensive operations near Dovha Balka, a small settlement southwest of Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast, as part of their broader push in eastern Ukraine, but ISW assessments through March 20 confirm no geolocated advances into the village itself amid Ukrainian defensive stands. Recent weeks saw intensified Russian drone strikes and probing assaults northeast of Pokrovsk and south of Druzhkivka, yet progress remains incremental due to fortified Ukrainian positions and high attrition rates. Trader consensus reflects skepticism on a breakthrough by the March 31 deadline, with key risks including sudden escalations from reinforcements or weather improvements, while no major diplomatic shifts alter frontline dynamics. Resolution hinges on verified entry via official maps or imagery.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.48905979884506° N, 37.60464316125542° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Volumen
$8,398Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.48905979884506° N, 37.60464316125542° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted ongoing offensive operations near Dovha Balka, a small settlement southwest of Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast, as part of their broader push in eastern Ukraine, but ISW assessments through March 20 confirm no geolocated advances into the village itself amid Ukrainian defensive stands. Recent weeks saw intensified Russian drone strikes and probing assaults northeast of Pokrovsk and south of Druzhkivka, yet progress remains incremental due to fortified Ukrainian positions and high attrition rates. Trader consensus reflects skepticism on a breakthrough by the March 31 deadline, with key risks including sudden escalations from reinforcements or weather improvements, while no major diplomatic shifts alter frontline dynamics. Resolution hinges on verified entry via official maps or imagery.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.48905979884506° N, 37.60464316125542° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,398Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted ongoing offensive operations near Dovha Balka, a small settlement southwest of Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast, as part of their broader push in eastern Ukraine, but ISW assessments through March 20 confirm no geolocated advances into the village itself amid Ukrainian defensive stands. Recent weeks saw intensified Russian drone strikes and probing assaults northeast of Pokrovsk and south of Druzhkivka, yet progress remains incremental due to fortified Ukrainian positions and high attrition rates. Trader consensus reflects skepticism on a breakthrough by the March 31 deadline, with key risks including sudden escalations from reinforcements or weather improvements, while no major diplomatic shifts alter frontline dynamics. Resolution hinges on verified entry via official maps or imagery.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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